TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Michal Skuril
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111151012611––
Jerzy Pelka
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:25 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Skuril to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Skuril above · Jerzy Pelka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Michal Skuril at 56.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Michal Skuril 0–1 Jerzy Pelka Michal Skuril has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:25What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skuril 1294 vs Pelka 1388
Pelka
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skuril 20% vs Pelka 60%
Pelka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skuril 30% vs Pelka 70%
Pelka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skuril -3 · Pelka -1
Skuril
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pelka) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skuril form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkuril 2.10 / Pelka 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pelka)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13167448
Skuril2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 8 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Pelka1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 84 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it65% 60 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkuril0wins
AwayPelka1wins
Pelka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkurilPelkaS − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.043.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkurilPelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 47 vs 444 / 94644.7%46.9%21 / 47 vs 444 / 946Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaSkuril 2.10/Pelka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 21 · 03:50M. Skuril341184111J. Pelka4381111133
M. Skuril10
WSep 21 · 13:05M. Skuril1.911111123R. Idaczyk1.8098100LSep 21 · 10:10M. Skuril2.50931171J. Pruszkowski1.5011119113LSep 21 · 09:00M. Skuril1.9069111162P. Przewlocki1.82111194113LSep 21 · 07:45J. Pruszkowski1.44117115113M. Skuril2.6381131172WSep 21 · 06:55R. Idaczyk1.9158111162M. Skuril1.80111197113LSep 21 · 06:05M. Skuril2.2011123482P. Gumulinski1.615101111113LSep 21 · 04:30M. Skuril1.806117111P. Przewlocki1.9111711133LSep 21 · 03:50J. Pelka1.9181111133M. Skuril1.801184111WSep 20 · 14:40M. Skuril1.76114511113W. Buczynski1.9551111692WSep 20 · 13:05M. Skuril1.251111113A. Szurgot3.607490
J. Pelka10
LSep 21 · 12:40J. Pruszkowski1.5371111113J. Pelka2.38111771WSep 21 · 11:00J. Pelka1.8361P. Gumulinski1.8350LSep 21 · 09:50J. Pelka2.2013101181R. Idaczyk1.6115126113WSep 21 · 08:10J. Pelka1.7311911133P. Przewlocki2.003116111WSep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.57391191J. Pelka2.2511119113WSep 21 · 05:40R. Idaczyk1.83810190J. Pelka1.831112213LSep 21 · 04:55J. Pelka1.8311914462P. Gumulinski1.838111211113WSep 21 · 03:50J. Pelka1.9181111133M. Skuril1.801184111LSep 19 · 08:00J. Pelka1.65891141T. Lojtek2.1011119113WSep 19 · 06:45J. Pelka1.3014811113M. Cesarz3.251211481
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