TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Michal Skuril
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151210311411811
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Skuril above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 86 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 57.7%
86 points played in total.
H2H Michal Skuril 0–1 Piotr Gumulinski Michal Skuril has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skuril 1340 vs Gumulinski 1489
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skuril 40% vs Gumulinski 80%
Gumulinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skuril 70% vs Gumulinski 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skuril -2 · Gumulinski +4
Gumulinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Gumulinski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkuril 2.20 / Gumulinski 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Gumulinski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13165211
Skuril2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 8 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Gumulinski1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 355 of 579
Up 2–0, closes it94% 161 of 171
Up 1–0, closes it76% 240 of 315
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkuril0wins
AwayGumulinski1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderGumulinski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkurilGumulinskiS − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.048.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkurilGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 44 vs 1027 / 182147.7%56.4%21 / 44 vs 1027 / 1821Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiSkuril 2.20/Gumulinski 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 21 · 06:05M. Skuril3811123482P. Gumulinski485101111113
M. Skuril10
WSep 21 · 06:55R. Idaczyk1.9158111162M. Skuril1.80111197113LSep 21 · 04:30M. Skuril1.806117111P. Przewlocki1.9111711133LSep 21 · 03:50J. Pelka1.9181111133M. Skuril1.801184111WSep 20 · 14:40M. Skuril1.76114511113W. Buczynski1.9551111692WSep 20 · 13:05M. Skuril1.251111113A. Szurgot3.607490LSep 20 · 11:50M. Skuril3.059930P. Polok1.241111113WSep 20 · 10:10M. Skuril2.05121111113J. Jesiek1.66148371WSep 20 · 09:00M. Skuril3.001814113W. Wojtaszczyk1.33161230WSep 20 · 07:45J. Jesiek1.73104110M. Skuril2.001211133WSep 20 · 06:55A. Szurgot3.506760M. Skuril1.281111113
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 21 · 04:55J. Pelka1.8311914462P. Gumulinski1.838111211113WSep 21 · 03:25J. Pruszkowski1.6711771182P. Gumulinski2.10911118113WSep 17 · 14:20K. Kowalski4.3313581182P. Gumulinski1.201111116113WSep 17 · 13:30W. Ptak2.20114100P. Gumulinski1.611311123LSep 17 · 11:25P. Kurek2.3831111113P. Gumulinski1.53117761LSep 17 · 10:35I. Szymanski5.00611115133P. Gumulinski1.14118911112WSep 17 · 09:00L. Oracz2.0011651692P. Gumulinski1.737111114113WSep 17 · 08:10K. Kowalski5.5089111292P. Gumulinski1.131111510113WSep 17 · 07:20W. Ptak2.101199111P. Gumulinski1.6761111133LSep 17 · 05:15P. Kurek2.25119116113P. Gumulinski1.5791191162
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