TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Michal Skuril
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911311119711––
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:26 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Skuril to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Skuril above · Jakub Pruszkowski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Michal Skuril at 57.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Michal Skuril 0–1 Jakub Pruszkowski Michal Skuril has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Pruszkowski beat Skuril 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:26What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skuril 1305 vs Pruszkowski 1396
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skuril 20% vs Pruszkowski 60%
Pruszkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skuril 40% vs Pruszkowski 60%
Pruszkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skuril -2 · Pruszkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skuril form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkuril 2.50 / Pruszkowski 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13167458
Skuril2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 8 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Pruszkowski1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 451 of 695
Up 2–0, closes it95% 229 of 241
Up 1–0, closes it83% 347 of 420
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkuril0wins
AwayPruszkowski1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkurilPruszkowskiS − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match40.045.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkurilPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 46 vs 1135 / 179945.7%63.1%21 / 46 vs 1135 / 1799Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiSkuril 2.50/Pruszkowski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 21 · 07:45M. Skuril4081131172J. Pruszkowski45117115113
M. Skuril10
LSep 21 · 09:00M. Skuril1.9069111162P. Przewlocki1.82111194113LSep 21 · 07:45J. Pruszkowski1.44117115113M. Skuril2.6381131172WSep 21 · 06:55R. Idaczyk1.9158111162M. Skuril1.80111197113LSep 21 · 06:05M. Skuril2.2011123482P. Gumulinski1.615101111113LSep 21 · 04:30M. Skuril1.806117111P. Przewlocki1.9111711133LSep 21 · 03:50J. Pelka1.9181111133M. Skuril1.801184111WSep 20 · 14:40M. Skuril1.76114511113W. Buczynski1.9551111692WSep 20 · 13:05M. Skuril1.251111113A. Szurgot3.607490LSep 20 · 11:50M. Skuril3.059930P. Polok1.241111113WSep 20 · 10:10M. Skuril2.05121111113J. Jesiek1.66148371
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 21 · 09:25J. Pruszkowski1.67111070P. Gumulinski2.101312113WSep 21 · 07:45J. Pruszkowski1.44117115113M. Skuril2.6381131172LSep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.57391191J. Pelka2.2511119113WSep 21 · 05:15J. Pruszkowski1.61117116113P. Przewlocki2.2091161172WSep 21 · 04:10R. Idaczyk3.001071181J. Pruszkowski1.3612116113LSep 21 · 03:25J. Pruszkowski1.6711771182P. Gumulinski2.10911118113WSep 20 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.201281115113M. Skorski3.85101161772WSep 20 · 12:40M. Sinicki4.501012461J. Pruszkowski1.17121011113WSep 20 · 11:50B. Wisniewski5.0011971162J. Pruszkowski1.12911117113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Pruszkowski1.167111191A. Eliasz4.4011136113
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