TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131012711––––
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 64 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 117–105 Piotr Gumulinski Piotr Gumulinski has won 105 of their 222 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:59What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pruszkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
117-105 in 222
Pruszkowski
Wrong
gap of 12 in 222, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1415 vs Gumulinski 1505
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 60% vs Gumulinski 100%
Gumulinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 60% vs Gumulinski 80%
Gumulinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +1 · Gumulinski +7
Gumulinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pruszkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.67 / Gumulinski 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pruszkowski)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13165438
Pruszkowski1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 451 of 695
Up 2–0, closes it95% 229 of 241
Up 1–0, closes it83% 347 of 420
Gumulinski2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog58% won 121 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back47% 56 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back17% 9 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski4wins
AwayGumulinski6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski28.6%2 of 7
AwayGumulinski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski7Gumulinski3n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S2Pruszkowski3Gumulinski7n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S3Pruszkowski5Gumulinski5n = 10split evenly
S4Pruszkowski5Gumulinski3n = 8Pruszkowski took 5 of 8
S5Pruszkowski0Gumulinski3n = 3Gumulinski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiGumulinskiP − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.639.1+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1135 / 1798 vs 1029 / 182363.1%56.5%1135 / 1798 vs 1029 / 1823Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.67/Gumulinski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 01:35J. Pruszkowski59199811122P. Gumulinski591711116143
WAug 30 · 19:35J. Pruszkowski351311113P. Gumulinski2111460
LJul 8 · 11:25J. Pruszkowski4711991172P. Gumulinski47511119113
LJul 8 · 05:15J. Pruszkowski2898110P. Gumulinski351111133
WJul 7 · 03:55J. Pruszkowski43101111113P. Gumulinski29125841
LJul 6 · 21:55J. Pruszkowski531113111082P. Gumulinski51415912113
LJul 6 · 03:55J. Pruszkowski26115461P. Gumulinski4181111113
WJul 5 · 21:55J. Pruszkowski4213711113P. Gumulinski331111651
LJun 29 · 23:30J. Pruszkowski37119891P. Gumulinski3851111113
WJun 29 · 19:10J. Pruszkowski4691111153P. Gumulinski371158131
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 21 · 07:45J. Pruszkowski1.44117115113M. Skuril2.6381131172LSep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.57391191J. Pelka2.2511119113WSep 21 · 05:15J. Pruszkowski1.61117116113P. Przewlocki2.2091161172WSep 21 · 04:10R. Idaczyk3.001071181J. Pruszkowski1.3612116113LSep 21 · 03:25J. Pruszkowski1.6711771182P. Gumulinski2.10911118113WSep 20 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.201281115113M. Skorski3.85101161772WSep 20 · 12:40M. Sinicki4.501012461J. Pruszkowski1.17121011113WSep 20 · 11:50B. Wisniewski5.0011971162J. Pruszkowski1.12911117113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Pruszkowski1.167111191A. Eliasz4.4011136113LSep 20 · 09:50J. Pruszkowski1.0868100D. Poloszczanski4.901111123
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 21 · 08:35R. Idaczyk2.1011119692P. Gumulinski1.67781111113WSep 21 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.61111118113P. Przewlocki2.208131671WSep 21 · 06:05M. Skuril2.2011123482P. Gumulinski1.615101111113WSep 21 · 04:55J. Pelka1.8311914462P. Gumulinski1.838111211113WSep 21 · 03:25J. Pruszkowski1.6711771182P. Gumulinski2.10911118113WSep 17 · 14:20K. Kowalski4.3313581182P. Gumulinski1.201111116113WSep 17 · 13:30W. Ptak2.20114100P. Gumulinski1.611311123LSep 17 · 11:25P. Kurek2.3831111113P. Gumulinski1.53117761LSep 17 · 10:35I. Szymanski5.00611115133P. Gumulinski1.14118911112WSep 17 · 09:00L. Oracz2.0011651692P. Gumulinski1.737111114113
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