TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Karol Jablonski vs Oliver Vincenec 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Karol Jablonski
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114611811711––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
114611811711––
H2H Karol Jablonski 1–0 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Jablonski beat Vincenec 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jablonski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJablonski 1.75 / Vincenec 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jablonski)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13179384
Jablonski1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 17 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Vincenec1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 192 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back24% 67 of 279
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJablonski1wins
AwayVincenec0wins
Jablonski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJablonskiVincenecJ − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.030.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJablonskiVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 173 vs 680 / 148647.4%45.8%82 / 173 vs 680 / 1486Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JablonskiJablonski 1.75/Vincenec 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jablonski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 22 · 09:55K. Jablonski4211911113O. Vincenec30711391
K. Jablonski10
LSep 22 · 14:45K. Slawinski1.6011118113K. Jablonski2.15891191WSep 22 · 13:30W. Buczynski1.83139871K. Jablonski1.86111111113WSep 22 · 11:55J. Pelka1.851161313102K. Jablonski1.858111115123WSep 22 · 11:05K. Slawinski1.55111231192K. Jablonski2.25714115113WSep 22 · 09:55K. Jablonski1.8611911113O. Vincenec1.83711391LSep 22 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski1.41101111113K. Jablonski2.60127861WSep 22 · 07:30W. Buczynski1.90691131K. Jablonski1.7611113113LSep 22 · 05:55J. Pelka1.901111113K. Jablonski1.804990LSep 15 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.481111143K. Jablonski2.3474120WSep 15 · 15:55M. Durda1.2811149792K. Jablonski3.408121111113
O. Vincenec10
LSep 22 · 16:40W. Buczynski1.861111113O. Vincenec1.839880WSep 22 · 13:55J. Pelka1.76913451O. Vincenec1.90111111113WSep 22 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.35711101182O. Vincenec2.90119128113LSep 22 · 11:30J. Pruszkowski1.501111109113O. Vincenec2.5039121192WSep 22 · 10:40W. Buczynski1.91911731O. Vincenec1.7811611113LSep 22 · 09:55K. Jablonski1.8611911113O. Vincenec1.83711391LSep 22 · 07:55J. Pelka1.711111113O. Vincenec2.007540WSep 22 · 07:10J. Pruszkowski1.80111151142O. Vincenec1.85136113113WSep 22 · 05:30K. Slawinski1.27111011882O. Vincenec2.95612811113LSep 21 · 05:05G. Marud1.571111113O. Vincenec2.031580
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