TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Witold Buczynski vs Karol Jablonski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Witold Buczynski
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911113311––
Karol Jablonski
Away
1.76
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Jablonski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
611911113311––
H2H Witold Buczynski 4–3 Karol Jablonski Karol Jablonski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Jablonski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buczynski 1294 vs Jablonski 1394
Jablonski
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buczynski 20% vs Jablonski 60%
Jablonski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buczynski 30% vs Jablonski 60%
Jablonski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buczynski -2 · Jablonski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jablonski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuczynski 1.90 / Jablonski 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jablonski)+2.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13175754
Buczynski1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 195 of 501
Down 0–1, comes back23% 69 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back5% 8 of 163
Jablonski1.76
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 17 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBuczynski4wins
AwayJablonski3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderBuczynski leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuczynski100%4 of 4
AwayJablonski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buczynski4Jablonski3n = 7Buczynski took 4 of 7
S2Buczynski2Jablonski5n = 7Jablonski took 5 of 7
S3Buczynski4Jablonski3n = 7Buczynski took 4 of 7
S4Buczynski2Jablonski4n = 6Jablonski took 4 of 6
S5Buczynski3Jablonski1n = 4Buczynski took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricBuczynskiJablonskiB − JBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match41.641.9−0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuczynskiJablonskiBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 1115 vs 78 / 16739.7%46.7%443 / 1115 vs 78 / 167Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JablonskiBuczynski 1.90/Jablonski 1.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jablonski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jablonski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 22 · 07:30W. Buczynski29691131K. Jablonski3611113113
LFeb 26 · 13:20W. Buczynski2791080K. Jablonski341112113
WFeb 26 · 09:20W. Buczynski49118811113K. Jablonski4591111952
WOct 18 · 15:55W. Buczynski46115118113K. Jablonski4481171172
WOct 18 · 09:55W. Buczynski4312117133K. Jablonski3710511111
WMar 25 · 16:55W. Buczynski45117115113K. Jablonski4171171152
LMar 25 · 10:55W. Buczynski521013121072K. Jablonski5612111012113
W. Buczynski10
LSep 22 · 08:20K. Slawinski1.2271111113W. Buczynski3.60118671LSep 22 · 06:20W. Buczynski3.204480J. Pruszkowski1.321111113LSep 20 · 14:40M. Skuril1.76114511113W. Buczynski1.9551111692WSep 20 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.251111133W. Wojtaszczyk1.3389110LSep 20 · 12:15A. Szurgot4.50111110113W. Buczynski1.17651261LSep 20 · 11:00P. Polok1.339111011113W. Buczynski3.2511612442LSep 20 · 09:25J. Jesiek1.731211153W. Buczynski2.00108130WSep 20 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.0010811111W. Buczynski1.1412118133LSep 20 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.2541090W. Wojtaszczyk1.331112113LSep 20 · 06:05M. Skuril2.001191111113W. Buczynski1.7313116872
K. Jablonski10
LSep 22 · 05:55J. Pelka1.901111113K. Jablonski1.804990LSep 15 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.481111143K. Jablonski2.3474120WSep 15 · 15:55M. Durda1.2811149792K. Jablonski3.408121111113WSep 15 · 13:55M. Adamus1.8301251182K. Jablonski1.831110118113WSep 15 · 13:10R. Gajda1.7561070K. Jablonski1.951112113WSep 15 · 11:30L. Oracz1.85118101272K. Jablonski1.809111210113WSep 15 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.489101111112K. Jablonski2.34111268133LSep 15 · 09:55M. Durda1.231111113K. Jablonski3.505550LSep 15 · 07:55M. Adamus1.8381112153K. Jablonski1.8311810131WSep 15 · 07:10L. Oracz1.80911991K. Jablonski1.8511611113
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