TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Witold Buczynski
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181191311––––
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:47 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingWitold Buczynski above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 63 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 76.7%
63 points played in total.
H2H Witold Buczynski 5–13 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Witold Buczynski has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buczynski 1324 vs Wojtaszczyk 1412
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buczynski 20% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buczynski 40% vs Wojtaszczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Buczynski -3 · Wojtaszczyk +2
Buczynski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Wojtaszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojtaszczyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuczynski 3.25 / Wojtaszczyk 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13159674
Buczynski3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 196 of 504
Down 0–1, comes back23% 70 of 301
Down 0–2, comes back5% 8 of 165
Wojtaszczyk1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 372 of 537
Up 2–0, closes it97% 200 of 207
Up 1–0, closes it84% 290 of 345
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuczynski2wins
AwayWojtaszczyk8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWojtaszczyk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuczynski25%1 of 4
AwayWojtaszczyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buczynski4Wojtaszczyk6n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 6 of 10
S2Buczynski2Wojtaszczyk8n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 8 of 10
S3Buczynski3Wojtaszczyk7n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 7 of 10
S4Buczynski1Wojtaszczyk3n = 4Wojtaszczyk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuczynskiWojtaszczykB − WBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.335.9−3.6per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuczynskiWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime442 / 1111 vs 564 / 83939.8%67.2%442 / 1111 vs 564 / 839Avg sets wonper match1.82.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykBuczynski 3.25/Wojtaszczyk 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.3%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 19 · 13:30W. Buczynski561011159113W. Wojtaszczyk50128131162
LSep 19 · 07:20W. Buczynski207670W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LAug 25 · 13:30W. Buczynski247890W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LAug 25 · 07:20W. Buczynski42117101132W. Wojtaszczyk50711129113
LAug 19 · 06:05W. Buczynski2781090W. Wojtaszczyk341112113
LAug 4 · 14:40W. Buczynski34116891W. Wojtaszczyk3741111113
WAug 4 · 06:05W. Buczynski331111113W. Wojtaszczyk156630
LAug 3 · 13:55W. Buczynski238780W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LAug 3 · 08:35W. Buczynski32913100W. Wojtaszczyk381115123
W. Buczynski10
LSep 20 · 12:15A. Szurgot4.50111110113W. Buczynski1.17651261LSep 20 · 11:00P. Polok1.339111011113W. Buczynski3.2511612442LSep 20 · 09:25J. Jesiek1.731211153W. Buczynski2.00108130WSep 20 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.0010811111W. Buczynski1.1412118133LSep 20 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.2541090W. Wojtaszczyk1.331112113LSep 20 · 06:05M. Skuril2.001191111113W. Buczynski1.7313116872WSep 20 · 04:55P. Polok1.401071171W. Buczynski2.7512117113WSep 20 · 03:25J. Jesiek1.73711100W. Buczynski2.001113123LSep 19 · 14:40P. Polok1.401111113W. Buczynski2.759660WSep 19 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.401011159113W. Wojtaszczyk1.30128131162
W. Wojtaszczyk10
LSep 20 · 14:20P. Polok1.731111113W. Wojtaszczyk2.009650WSep 20 · 11:25J. Jesiek2.5010118111W. Wojtaszczyk1.5012511133WSep 20 · 10:35A. Szurgot8.5085130W. Wojtaszczyk1.051111153LSep 20 · 09:00M. Skuril3.001814113W. Wojtaszczyk1.33161230WSep 20 · 08:10P. Polok1.73911761W. Wojtaszczyk2.0011911113WSep 20 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.2541090W. Wojtaszczyk1.331112113LSep 20 · 05:15J. Jesiek2.381111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.539880LSep 20 · 04:30M. Skuril3.0012113113W. Wojtaszczyk1.361041161WSep 20 · 03:00A. Szurgot8.50211841W. Wojtaszczyk1.0511811113LSep 19 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.401011159113W. Wojtaszczyk1.30128131162
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.