TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Pawel Polok
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119711611––
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPawel Polok above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Pawel Polok at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Polok 2–2 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Polok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polok 1468 vs Wojtaszczyk 1467
Polok
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 80% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
Polok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 60% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok +2 · Wojtaszczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.73 / Wojtaszczyk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polok)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13159915
Polok1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 94 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it82% 78 of 95
Wojtaszczyk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 45 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePolok2wins
AwayWojtaszczyk2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polok2Wojtaszczyk2n = 4split evenly
S2Polok2Wojtaszczyk2n = 4split evenly
S3Polok3Wojtaszczyk1n = 4Polok took 3 of 4
S4Polok2Wojtaszczyk2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPolokWojtaszczykP − WBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match42.539.0+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 209 vs 562 / 83664.6%67.2%135 / 209 vs 562 / 836Avg sets wonper match2.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokPolok 1.73/Wojtaszczyk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 19 · 09:00P. Polok381291071W. Wojtaszczyk44101112113
LSep 19 · 04:30P. Polok48111111962W. Wojtaszczyk46138311113
WAug 12 · 03:50P. Polok4211514123W. Wojtaszczyk3961112101
WAug 11 · 07:20P. Polok4291111113W. Wojtaszczyk27113581
P. Polok10
WSep 20 · 06:30J. Jesiek3.008820P. Polok1.361111113WSep 20 · 05:40A. Szurgot8.0061060P. Polok1.061112113LSep 20 · 04:55P. Polok1.401071171W. Buczynski2.7512117113WSep 20 · 03:50P. Polok1.36116113113M. Skuril3.0051121172WSep 19 · 14:40P. Polok1.401111113W. Buczynski2.759660LSep 19 · 13:05P. Polok1.20119114102W. Jozala4.33411611123WSep 19 · 11:50P. Polok1.53111169113P. Adamus2.3895111172WSep 19 · 10:10P. Polok1.289151110113P. Mecik3.50111321282LSep 19 · 09:00P. Polok1.731291071W. Wojtaszczyk2.00101112113LSep 19 · 07:45R. Szymik2.75881111113P. Polok1.4011116562
W. Wojtaszczyk10
WSep 20 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.2541090W. Wojtaszczyk1.331112113LSep 20 · 05:15J. Jesiek2.381111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.539880LSep 20 · 04:30M. Skuril3.0012113113W. Wojtaszczyk1.361041161WSep 20 · 03:00A. Szurgot8.50211841W. Wojtaszczyk1.0511811113WSep 19 · 14:20P. Adamus2.25712651W. Wojtaszczyk1.57111011113LSep 19 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.401011159113W. Wojtaszczyk1.30128131162LSep 19 · 11:25P. Mecik2.7511711133W. Wojtaszczyk1.406117111WSep 19 · 10:35W. Jozala4.33135861W. Wojtaszczyk1.20111111113WSep 19 · 09:00P. Polok1.731291071W. Wojtaszczyk2.00101112113WSep 19 · 08:10P. Mecik2.75711471W. Wojtaszczyk1.4011711113
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