TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Witold Buczynski vs Oliver Vincenec 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Witold Buczynski
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116711311––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
1.78
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
911116711311––
H2H Witold Buczynski 14–12 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Vincenec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-12 in 26
Buczynski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buczynski 1313 vs Vincenec 1350
Vincenec
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buczynski 20% vs Vincenec 40%
Vincenec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buczynski 30% vs Vincenec 50%
Vincenec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buczynski +1 · Vincenec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vincenec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuczynski 1.91 / Vincenec 1.78
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vincenec)+2.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13177053
Buczynski1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 195 of 501
Down 0–1, comes back23% 69 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back5% 8 of 163
Vincenec1.78
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 132 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it86% 60 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it74% 98 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuczynski5wins
AwayVincenec5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuczynski62.5%5 of 8
AwayVincenecn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buczynski8Vincenec2n = 10Buczynski took 8 of 10
S2Buczynski4Vincenec6n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S3Buczynski5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S4Buczynski3Vincenec3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuczynskiVincenecB − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.734.8−0.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuczynskiVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 1116 vs 677 / 148239.8%45.7%444 / 1116 vs 677 / 1482Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecBuczynski 1.91/Vincenec 1.78
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 16:40W. Buczynski26114561O. Vincenec4071111113
WSep 8 · 10:40W. Buczynski331111113O. Vincenec248880
WAug 10 · 13:30W. Buczynski3811511113O. Vincenec29411681
LAug 10 · 07:20W. Buczynski208660O. Vincenec331111113
WMay 26 · 23:10W. Buczynski331111113O. Vincenec193970
WMay 9 · 17:05W. Buczynski46111113113O. Vincenec324131141
LMay 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski3911511752O. Vincenec45611611113
LMay 2 · 11:55W. Buczynski209740O. Vincenec331111113
WMay 2 · 05:55W. Buczynski4412129113O. Vincenec3910101181
LApr 19 · 11:30W. Buczynski48111610742O. Vincenec546141211113
W. Buczynski10
WSep 22 · 09:05J. Pelka1.6599100W. Buczynski2.051111123LSep 22 · 08:20K. Slawinski1.2271111113W. Buczynski3.60118671LSep 22 · 07:30W. Buczynski1.90691131K. Jablonski1.7611113113LSep 22 · 06:20W. Buczynski3.204480J. Pruszkowski1.321111113LSep 20 · 14:40M. Skuril1.76114511113W. Buczynski1.9551111692WSep 20 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.251111133W. Wojtaszczyk1.3389110LSep 20 · 12:15A. Szurgot4.50111110113W. Buczynski1.17651261LSep 20 · 11:00P. Polok1.339111011113W. Buczynski3.2511612442LSep 20 · 09:25J. Jesiek1.731211153W. Buczynski2.00108130WSep 20 · 08:35A. Szurgot5.0010811111W. Buczynski1.1412118133
O. Vincenec10
LSep 22 · 11:30J. Pruszkowski1.501111109113O. Vincenec2.5039121192LSep 22 · 09:55K. Jablonski1.8611911113O. Vincenec1.83711391LSep 22 · 07:55J. Pelka1.711111113O. Vincenec2.007540WSep 22 · 07:10J. Pruszkowski1.80111151142O. Vincenec1.85136113113WSep 22 · 05:30K. Slawinski1.27111011882O. Vincenec2.95612811113LSep 21 · 05:05G. Marud1.571111113O. Vincenec2.031580WSep 21 · 03:55O. Vincenec2.151112113P. Kurek1.6371060LSep 21 · 02:45M. Baron1.881111123O. Vincenec1.6748100WSep 21 · 01:30W. Urban1.658112101O. Vincenec1.9111711123LSep 20 · 23:55P. Adamus1.611111115133O. Vincenec2.15139511112
Upcoming Matches
W. Buczynski
O. Vincenec
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.