TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Krupnik Snr vs Jan Sevecek 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Lukas Krupnik Snr
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115119116––
Jan Sevecek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Krupnik Snr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Snr above · Jan Sevecek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Lukas Krupnik Snr at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Snr 4–3 Jan Sevecek Jan Sevecek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sevecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1349 vs Sevecek 1415
Sevecek
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 60% vs Sevecek 20%
Snr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 50% vs Sevecek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr +2 · Sevecek -3
Sevecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sevecek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sevecek form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 2.20 / Sevecek 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sevecek)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #13173301
Snr2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 19 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Sevecek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 39 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it70% 30 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSnr4wins
AwaySevecek3wins
Snr leads 4–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr100%3 of 3
AwaySevecek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr3Sevecek4n = 7Sevecek took 4 of 7
S2Snr2Sevecek5n = 7Sevecek took 5 of 7
S3Snr6Sevecek1n = 7Snr took 6 of 7
S4Snr3Sevecek2n = 5Snr took 3 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSnrSevecekSnr − SevecekBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match38.434.0+4.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrSevecekBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 138 vs 82 / 14346.4%57.3%64 / 138 vs 82 / 143Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.040.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SevecekSnr 2.20/Sevecek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Sevecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 22 · 07:10L. Snr4291111113J. Sevecek31115961
LJul 24 · 05:40L. Snr3971011111J. Sevecek3911123133
WJul 22 · 05:45L. Snr4211911113J. Sevecek25711341
LJul 13 · 05:40L. Snr381191171J. Sevecek4413119113
WJul 6 · 06:10L. Snr4211911113J. Sevecek32711861
LMar 11 · 18:10L. Snr3014790J. Sevecek381611113
WMar 11 · 17:10L. Snr361114113J. Sevecek2981290
L. Snr10
WSep 22 · 05:40A. Strelec1.5311691182L. Snr2.38711113113WSep 18 · 12:40L. Snr1.2512117113Z. Chovancik3.751081161LSep 18 · 12:10L. Snr1.80117841P. Sturma1.9181111113LSep 18 · 10:40J. Jnr1.40121111113L. Snr2.75146561WSep 18 · 10:10Z. Chovancik2.507570L. Snr1.501111113WSep 16 · 08:50L. Snr1.571111113L. Zustina2.253770LSep 16 · 08:15L. Snr1.5793111182R. Zajac2.25111199113WSep 16 · 06:45L. Zustina1.834970L. Snr1.831111113LSep 16 · 06:15J. Sindler1.6171111113L. Snr2.20118661LSep 15 · 08:43J. Matus1.3311611113L. Snr3.25911821
J. Sevecek10
LSep 22 · 06:10J. Sevecek1.801011371J. Matus1.9112611113LSep 9 · 12:44L. Zustina2.1061411133J. Sevecek1.6711129111LSep 9 · 11:45J. Sevecek1.6761191472L. Zustina2.101171112113WSep 9 · 10:45J. Sevecek1.73711311113J. Sindler2.0011911692LSep 9 · 09:45J. Sevecek1.675111091L. Jr2.1011312113WSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.0061111592J. Sevecek1.73117611113WSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113LAug 28 · 09:08J. Sevecek1.8011118792J. Sindler1.91691111113
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