Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13148410

Starts Sep 18, 05:55Scheduled

Mykolay Treschetka

Home

1.50

At publish

Lost last 1

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

4 – 0

All 4 meetings · 100.0%

Last 4 · 4–0Same side

Illia Fokin

Away

2.50

At publish

Lost last 1

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Neither player arrives off a win — both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 17h before this match

Treschetka beat Fokin 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTreschetka 1.50 / Fokin 2.50

Setka Cup · #13148410

Treschetka1.50

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite66% won 65 of 99

Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35

Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57

Fokin2.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog46% won 32 of 70

Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 40

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeTreschetka4wins

AwayFokin0wins

2 of 4 to a deciderTreschetka leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeTreschetka100%3 of 3

AwayFokinn = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Treschetka3Fokin1n = 4Treschetka took 3 of 4

S2Treschetka2Fokin2n = 4split evenly

S3Treschetka3Fokin1n = 4Treschetka took 3 of 4

S4Treschetka2Fokin1n = 3Treschetka took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home125%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home250%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricTreschetkaFokinT − FBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.535.2+7.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricTreschetkaFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 944 vs 144 / 27350.3%52.8%475 / 944 vs 144 / 273Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.3per match