TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Strelec vs Jan Sevecek 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Adam Strelec
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311114117––––
Jan Sevecek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeJan Sevecek to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Strelec above · Jan Sevecek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 57 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jan Sevecek at 61.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Adam Strelec 2–4 Jan Sevecek Adam Strelec has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:32What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Strelec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Sevecek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strelec 1447 vs Sevecek 1402
Strelec
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strelec 60% vs Sevecek 20%
Strelec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strelec 60% vs Sevecek 40%
Strelec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strelec +1 · Sevecek -4
Sevecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Strelec) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sevecek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrelec 1.53 / Sevecek 2.38
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Strelec)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13173300
Strelec1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 24 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it59% 13 of 22
Sevecek2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog67% won 16 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back43% 3 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStrelec2wins
AwaySevecek4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSevecek leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrelec33.3%1 of 3
AwaySevecek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strelec3Sevecek3n = 6split evenly
S2Strelec2Sevecek4n = 6Sevecek took 4 of 6
S3Strelec5Sevecek1n = 6Strelec took 5 of 6
S4Strelec2Sevecek3n = 5Sevecek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricStrelecSevecekStrelec − SevecekBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.038.5+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrelecSevecekBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 241 vs 82 / 14450.2%56.9%121 / 241 vs 82 / 144Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrelecStrelec 1.53/Sevecek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.4%
Strelec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strelec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 22 · 07:40A. Strelec351311113J. Sevecek2211470
LAug 28 · 07:40A. Strelec51991111112J. Sevecek46111147133
LAug 22 · 09:40A. Strelec271121221J. Sevecek4371114113
LAug 17 · 09:20A. Strelec36971191J. Sevecek4111118113
WAug 17 · 07:40A. Strelec4281112113J. Sevecek311151051
LJul 8 · 06:45A. Strelec4311911572J. Sevecek48611911113
A. Strelec10
WSep 22 · 06:40A. Strelec1.83119811113J. Matus1.8391111982LSep 22 · 05:40A. Strelec1.5311691182L. Snr2.38711113113LSep 21 · 09:25A. Strelec2.00811511132J. Sindler1.73113119153WSep 21 · 08:10A. Strelec1.801012711113J. Matus1.91121011752WSep 21 · 06:40J. Sindler1.7381171172A. Strelec2.00117114113LSep 21 · 06:10I. Jemelka1.73612915123A. Strelec2.0011101113102LSep 15 · 09:13A. Strelec2.63821181I. Jemelka1.4411118113WSep 15 · 07:40I. Jemelka1.7328120A. Strelec2.001111143WSep 15 · 07:10J. Matus1.833411101A. Strelec1.8311119123WSep 15 · 06:10A. Strelec2.001111123L. Snr1.7354100
J. Sevecek10
LSep 22 · 07:10L. Snr2.2091111113J. Sevecek1.61115961LSep 22 · 06:10J. Sevecek1.801011371J. Matus1.9112611113LSep 9 · 12:44L. Zustina2.1061411133J. Sevecek1.6711129111LSep 9 · 11:45J. Sevecek1.6761191472L. Zustina2.101171112113WSep 9 · 10:45J. Sevecek1.73711311113J. Sindler2.0011911692LSep 9 · 09:45J. Sevecek1.675111091L. Jr2.1011312113WSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.0061111592J. Sevecek1.73117611113WSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113
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