TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Frantisek Nadymacek vs Vitezslav Burdik 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1315118711117118
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:25 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Burdik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Nadymacek above · Vitezslav Burdik below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 102 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Vitezslav Burdik at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Nadymacek 1–1 Vitezslav Burdik Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2554.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Burdik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nadymacek 1688 vs Burdik 1721
Burdik
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadymacek 20% vs Burdik 80%
Burdik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadymacek 50% vs Burdik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadymacek -3 · Burdik -1
Nadymacek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Burdik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burdik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadymacek 1.833 / Burdik 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Burdik)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13275266
Nadymacek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Burdik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNadymacek1wins
AwayBurdik1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricNadymacekBurdikN − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.040.5+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadymacekBurdikBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 65 vs 88 / 15858.5%55.7%38 / 65 vs 88 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BurdikNadymacek 1.83/Burdik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Burdik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nadymacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 3 · 17:30F. Nadymacek47911115113V. Burdik4511681192
LAug 3 · 15:00F. Nadymacek371191071V. Burdik3621112113
F. Nadymacek10
LOct 11 · 10:30R. Hudeczek2.251111113F. Nadymacek1.578750LOct 4 · 17:00M. Cabis1.831111133F. Nadymacek1.8377110LOct 4 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.001111113F. Nadymacek1.739450WOct 4 · 15:30F. Nadymacek3.5012118113M. Cabis1.281081171LOct 4 · 14:30M. Grundel1.571111113F. Nadymacek2.255780WSep 22 · 17:30M. Chalupa2.20101110101F. Nadymacek1.6012812123LSep 22 · 16:00M. Chalupa2.38111112113F. Nadymacek1.535131041WSep 22 · 15:00D. Szotek2.759950F. Nadymacek1.401111113WSep 22 · 14:30F. Nadymacek1.441412113L. Kern2.63121080WSep 19 · 13:00F. Nadymacek1.83111187113R. Hudeczek1.8388111162
V. Burdik10
WOct 11 · 12:00V. Burdik1.571311123R. Hudeczek2.25118100LOct 11 · 10:00V. Burdik1.53109100M. Chalupa2.381211123WSep 10 · 21:29V. Burdik1.33631111113L. Kern3.2511115972WSep 10 · 20:00V. Burdik1.53111011143M. Chalupa2.388129121WSep 10 · 19:30L. Kern2.7571240V. Burdik1.401114113WSep 10 · 18:00V. Burdik1.801111143D. Szotek1.9189120WSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113LSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123WSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113
Upcoming Matches
F. Nadymacek
Nothing scheduled
V. Burdik
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