TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Simecek Jnr vs Premysl Rucky 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118113119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:37 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJan Simecek Jnr to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Simecek Jnr above · Premysl Rucky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Jan Simecek Jnr at 61.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jan Simecek Jnr 4–0 Premysl Rucky Premysl Rucky has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:3761.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 2.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Jnr
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1637 vs Rucky 1539
Jnr
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 60% vs Rucky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 70% vs Rucky 50%
Jnr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr +1 · Rucky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Jnr) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rucky form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.571 / Rucky 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Jnr)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13261530
Jnr1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 05)
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 61 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 47 of 59
Rucky2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 24 days ago (Sep 14) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 7 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back40% 2 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJnr4wins
AwayRucky0wins
Jnr leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr100%3 of 3
AwayRuckyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr3Rucky1n = 4Jnr took 3 of 4
S2Jnr3Rucky1n = 4Jnr took 3 of 4
S3Jnr3Rucky1n = 4Jnr took 3 of 4
S4Jnr3Rucky0n = 3Jnr took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJnrRuckyJ − RBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.034.2+7.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrRuckyBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 425 vs 32 / 6852.7%47.1%224 / 425 vs 32 / 68Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JnrJnr 1.57/Rucky 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 14 · 20:00J. Jnr49111113143P. Rucky4013411121
WAug 25 · 17:15J. Jnr5020127113P. Rucky4718101181
WJul 30 · 20:00J. Jnr3611311113P. Rucky28411581
WJul 17 · 19:00J. Jnr331111113P. Rucky226970
J. Jnr10
WOct 8 · 18:45J. Jnr1.571111113Z. Kuksa2.258860WOct 5 · 20:18J. Jnr1.6711811113Z. Kuksa2.10611771LOct 5 · 19:45M. Hajek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110471WOct 5 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.91751171J. Jnr1.8011117113LOct 5 · 17:15L. Provaznik1.4011115113J. Jnr2.75971191WOct 4 · 08:43J. Jnr1.91201288113P. Orlowski1.801810111192WOct 4 · 07:30P. Orlowski1.91812128102J. Jnr1.8011101011123WOct 4 · 07:00J. Jnr2.1011118113D. Brichacek1.67661181WOct 4 · 06:00J. Jnr1.5711114113T. Kanka2.25981181LOct 1 · 20:43J. Jnr1.8311611472M. Hajek1.83611611113
P. Rucky10
WOct 8 · 18:15D. Brichacek1.53111199102P. Rucky2.38661111123WSep 14 · 21:08P. Rucky1.5361111123R. Merkl2.381174101LSep 14 · 20:00J. Jnr1.53111113143P. Rucky2.3813411121WSep 14 · 19:00R. Merkl2.2585111192P. Rucky1.57111149113WSep 14 · 17:30S. Kalensky2.631118151P. Rucky1.4481111173LSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113LSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky2.00611781D. Brichacek1.7311811113WSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WAug 25 · 20:48P. Rucky1.7351114113T. Hanke2.001151281
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.