TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Srnka vs Filip Marat 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117119711611711
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:50 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Srnka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Srnka above · Filip Marat below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Jan Srnka at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
The pickContradict
Sealed 07:50What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Marat
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Srnka 1551 vs Marat 1418
Srnka
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Srnka 40% vs Marat 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Srnka 50% vs Marat 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Srnka -1 · Marat -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent, and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Srnka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marat form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSrnka 2.00 / Marat 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Srnka)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #13213915
Srnka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 31 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Marat1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 23 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrnkaMaratBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 149 vs 234 / 51955.7%45.1%83 / 149 vs 234 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SrnkaSrnka 2.00/Marat 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Srnka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Marat won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Srnka10
LSep 29 · 08:55J. Srnka1.73891211102M. Filipek2.001111105123LSep 29 · 06:55J. Srnka2.501161281A. Kral1.5031114113WSep 8 · 09:53J. Srnka1.804111011133P. Chlumsky1.91119127112LSep 8 · 08:55J. Srnka2.2551161192P. Chlumsky1.57117116113LSep 8 · 07:55J. Srnka1.736990R. Jamrich2.001111113WSep 8 · 06:55J. Srnka1.8071111143R. Muller1.911194121LSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 08:55T. Rein2.63151311662J. Srnka1.441711611113LSep 2 · 08:25B. Budik1.772012113J. Srnka1.93181060WSep 2 · 07:25J. Srnka1.6711118113S. Holik2.10951161
F. Marat10
LSep 29 · 07:25M. Filipek2.101111113F. Marat1.673680WSep 24 · 14:13F. Marat2.10891113113L. Moravec1.67111181152WSep 24 · 12:55L. Moravec1.448612101F. Marat2.63111110123LSep 24 · 12:25A. Kral1.8381111113F. Marat1.83118861LSep 24 · 11:25F. Marat1.83117381R. Jamrich1.8391111113LSep 22 · 14:35P. Chlumsky1.5011129133F. Marat2.4561011111WSep 22 · 12:55L. Moravec1.6171210151F. Marat2.20111012173LSep 22 · 12:25P. Chlumsky1.57111111153F. Marat2.256713131LSep 22 · 11:25F. Marat1.91155111152A. Kral1.80171169113WSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590
Upcoming Matches
J. Srnka
Nothing scheduled
F. Marat
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