TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Filip Marat vs Ladislav Moravec 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Filip Marat
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8119111181311115
Ladislav Moravec
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingFilip Marat above · Ladislav Moravec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 98 set 5, 11-5
98 points played in total.
H2H Filip Marat 10–12 Ladislav Moravec Filip Marat has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Marat beat Moravec 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarat 2.10 / Moravec 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Moravec)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13189486
Marat2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back38% 25 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back23% 8 of 35
Moravec1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 23 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarat4wins
AwayMoravec6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarat50%2 of 4
AwayMoravec66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marat4Moravec6n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S2Marat3Moravec7n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S3Marat3Moravec7n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S4Marat3Moravec3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaratMoravecMarat − MoravecBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.436.6−3.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaratMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 521 vs 115 / 27644.9%41.7%234 / 521 vs 115 / 276Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMarat 2.10/Moravec 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Marat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 12:55F. Marat44111110123L. Moravec368612101
WSep 22 · 12:55F. Marat50111012173L. Moravec4471210151
WSep 17 · 13:25F. Marat50811119113L. Moravec3811451172
LAug 19 · 14:35F. Marat2688100L. Moravec341111123
LAug 19 · 13:25F. Marat351161081L. Moravec4281112113
LJul 27 · 10:55F. Marat142750L. Moravec331111113
WJun 2 · 12:25F. Marat3931111143L. Moravec351175121
LMar 12 · 13:55F. Marat236980L. Moravec331111113
LMar 11 · 12:25F. Marat34115991L. Moravec3851111113
LFeb 27 · 12:25F. Marat195950L. Moravec331111113
F. Marat10
WSep 24 · 12:55L. Moravec1.448612101F. Marat2.63111110123LSep 24 · 12:25A. Kral1.8381111113F. Marat1.83118861LSep 24 · 11:25F. Marat1.83117381R. Jamrich1.8391111113LSep 22 · 14:35P. Chlumsky1.5011129133F. Marat2.4561011111WSep 22 · 12:55L. Moravec1.6171210151F. Marat2.20111012173LSep 22 · 12:25P. Chlumsky1.57111111153F. Marat2.256713131LSep 22 · 11:25F. Marat1.91155111152A. Kral1.80171169113WSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590LSep 18 · 17:25J. Dvorak1.7311118113F. Marat2.00861171WSep 18 · 16:25F. Marat2.385121111113D. Tichy1.5311146432
L. Moravec10
LSep 24 · 12:55L. Moravec1.448612101F. Marat2.63111110123WSep 24 · 11:55L. Moravec1.5311911113R. Jamrich2.38411851LSep 24 · 10:55L. Moravec2.6310490A. Kral1.441211113LSep 22 · 14:05L. Moravec2.50991161A. Kral1.5011118113LSep 22 · 12:55L. Moravec1.6171210151F. Marat2.20111012173WSep 22 · 11:55L. Moravec2.75121011113A. Kral1.401012751LSep 22 · 10:55L. Moravec1.839880P. Chlumsky1.831111113LSep 17 · 14:09A. Kral1.501411113L. Moravec2.5012840LSep 17 · 13:25L. Moravec1.4011451172F. Marat2.75811119113LSep 17 · 11:55M. Filipek1.801111412113L. Moravec1.91139111062
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