TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ladislav Moravec vs Robert Jamrich 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Ladislav Moravec
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114911118115––
Robert Jamrich
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:11 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeLadislav Moravec to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Moravec above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Ladislav Moravec at 66.1%
70 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Moravec 21–10 Robert Jamrich Robert Jamrich has won 10 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:11What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-10 in 31
Moravec
Correct
gap of 11 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1448 vs Jamrich 1406
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 20% vs Jamrich 40%
Jamrich
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 10% vs Jamrich 30%
Jamrich
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -3 · Jamrich +1
Moravec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.53 / Jamrich 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Moravec)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13186690
Moravec1.53
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 23 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Jamrich2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back23% 8 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec8wins
AwayJamrich2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec87.5%7 of 8
AwayJamrichn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec8Jamrich2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10
S2Moravec7Jamrich3n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S3Moravec8Jamrich2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10
S4Moravec3Jamrich3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecJamrichM − JBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.730.5+7.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 275 vs 130 / 29241.8%44.5%115 / 275 vs 130 / 292Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.53/Jamrich 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 11:55L. Moravec4211911113R. Jamrich28411851
WSep 1 · 16:50L. Moravec3911116113R. Jamrich30461191
LAug 25 · 14:55L. Moravec30119461R. Jamrich4291111113
WAug 19 · 12:25L. Moravec50811137113R. Jamrich49117111192
WAug 12 · 13:25L. Moravec361111143R. Jamrich2879120
WAug 11 · 17:25L. Moravec351111133R. Jamrich2577110
WAug 11 · 15:20L. Moravec331111113R. Jamrich112540
WMar 24 · 15:00L. Moravec331111113R. Jamrich174940
LMar 24 · 11:55L. Moravec4181111742R. Jamrich44115611113
WMar 17 · 15:30L. Moravec3812411113R. Jamrich311011551
L. Moravec10
LSep 24 · 10:55L. Moravec2.6310490A. Kral1.441211113LSep 22 · 14:05L. Moravec2.50991161A. Kral1.5011118113LSep 22 · 12:55L. Moravec1.6171210151F. Marat2.20111012173WSep 22 · 11:55L. Moravec2.75121011113A. Kral1.401012751LSep 22 · 10:55L. Moravec1.839880P. Chlumsky1.831111113LSep 17 · 14:09A. Kral1.501411113L. Moravec2.5012840LSep 17 · 13:25L. Moravec1.4011451172F. Marat2.75811119113LSep 17 · 11:55M. Filipek1.801111412113L. Moravec1.91139111062LSep 17 · 11:25A. Kral1.5311713113L. Moravec2.384111181LSep 11 · 17:55L. Moravec1.3097130D. Sochor3.401111153
R. Jamrich10
WSep 24 · 11:25F. Marat1.83117381R. Jamrich1.8391111113LSep 23 · 09:58R. Jamrich2.009121112122F. Balcar1.731110914143WSep 23 · 08:55F. Balcar1.501112611102R. Jamrich2.509101113123LSep 23 · 08:25A. Kral1.50911811113R. Jamrich2.5011711482LSep 23 · 07:25R. Jamrich1.8369111192M. Filipek1.83111167113WSep 19 · 10:04J. Dvorak1.619850R. Jamrich2.201111113LSep 19 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.801111113R. Jamrich1.913970LSep 19 · 08:25A. Kral1.5711711123R. Jamrich2.259119101LSep 19 · 07:25R. Jamrich2.0041111892J. Dvorak1.73114711113LSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590
Upcoming Matches
L. Moravec
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R. Jamrich
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