TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Robert Jamrich vs Frantisek Balcar 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Robert Jamrich
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911121011912141214
Frantisek Balcar
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingRobert Jamrich above · Frantisek Balcar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 114 set 5, 12-14
114 points played in total.
H2H Robert Jamrich 1–3 Frantisek Balcar Robert Jamrich has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Jamrich beat Balcar 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Balcar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Balcar form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJamrich 2.00 / Balcar 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Balcar)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13182892
Jamrich2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 22 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Balcar1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 25 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJamrich1wins
AwayBalcar3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBalcar leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJamrichn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBalcar66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jamrich1Balcar3n = 4Balcar took 3 of 4
S2Jamrich0Balcar4n = 4Balcar took 4 of 4
S3Jamrich1Balcar3n = 4Balcar took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricJamrichBalcarJ − BBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match32.539.0−6.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJamrichBalcarBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 290 vs 119 / 24344.5%49%129 / 290 vs 119 / 243Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalcarJamrich 2.00/Balcar 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Balcar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Balcar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 23 · 08:55R. Jamrich559101113123F. Balcar501112611102
LSep 1 · 17:25R. Jamrich228770F. Balcar331111113
LSep 1 · 15:20R. Jamrich35119781F. Balcar4071111113
LJul 22 · 12:55R. Jamrich185580F. Balcar331111113
R. Jamrich10
WSep 23 · 08:55F. Balcar1.501112611102R. Jamrich2.509101113123LSep 23 · 08:25A. Kral1.50911811113R. Jamrich2.5011711482LSep 23 · 07:25R. Jamrich1.8369111192M. Filipek1.83111167113WSep 19 · 10:04J. Dvorak1.619850R. Jamrich2.201111113LSep 19 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.801111113R. Jamrich1.913970LSep 19 · 08:25A. Kral1.5711711123R. Jamrich2.259119101LSep 19 · 07:25R. Jamrich2.0041111892J. Dvorak1.73114711113LSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590LSep 18 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.2049100D. Tichy1.611111123LSep 18 · 15:55R. Jamrich1.5710911111J. Dvorak2.2512117133
F. Balcar10
LSep 23 · 08:55F. Balcar1.501112611102R. Jamrich2.509101113123LSep 23 · 07:55F. Balcar1.91612101152M. Filipek1.801110127113LSep 23 · 06:55F. Balcar2.208118101A. Kral1.6111811123LSep 22 · 10:10R. Muller1.92712911113F. Balcar1.78111011892LSep 22 · 09:25B. Budik1.874111319113F. Balcar1.83116151752WSep 22 · 08:25F. Balcar1.91612811133M. Filipek1.801110119112LSep 22 · 06:55R. Muller2.251111133F. Balcar1.5787110WSep 21 · 14:45F. Balcar1.801111113M. Filipek1.906670WSep 21 · 13:25F. Balcar1.571281110113P. Chlumsky2.25101171232WSep 21 · 11:55A. Kral1.5711911882F. Balcar2.25811811113
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