TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Kral vs Robert Jamrich 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Adam Kral
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117811114118
Robert Jamrich
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeAdam Kral to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kral above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Adam Kral at 58.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kral 5–3 Robert Jamrich Robert Jamrich has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Kral
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kral 1504 vs Jamrich 1407
Kral
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kral 60% vs Jamrich 20%
Kral
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kral 40% vs Jamrich 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kral +2 · Jamrich -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kral) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jamrich form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKral 1.50 / Jamrich 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kral)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13180660
Kral1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 51 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it73% 37 of 51
Jamrich2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 22 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKral5wins
AwayJamrich3wins
Kral leads 5–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKral83.3%5 of 6
AwayJamrichn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kral6Jamrich2n = 8Kral took 6 of 8
S2Kral5Jamrich3n = 8Kral took 5 of 8
S3Kral4Jamrich4n = 8split evenly
S4Kral3Jamrich3n = 6split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKralJamrichK − JBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match36.935.6+1.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKralJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 785 vs 130 / 29052.2%44.8%410 / 785 vs 130 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KralKral 1.50/Jamrich 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Kral · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 19 · 08:25A. Kral4111711123R. Jamrich399119101
WSep 1 · 14:50A. Kral331111113R. Jamrich198650
WAug 5 · 09:59A. Kral4111117123R. Jamrich399911101
LAug 5 · 08:55A. Kral391312861R. Jamrich47111411113
LJan 18 · 19:20A. Kral347111061R. Jamrich4311912113
LSep 25 · 09:35A. Kral31611681R. Jamrich4011711113
WSep 25 · 07:50A. Kral4111811113R. Jamrich29611931
WJul 24 · 10:55A. Kral351311113R. Jamrich2911990
A. Kral10
WSep 23 · 06:55F. Balcar2.208118101A. Kral1.6111811123WSep 22 · 14:05L. Moravec2.50991161A. Kral1.5011118113LSep 22 · 13:25A. Kral1.91111041182P. Chlumsky1.80712119113LSep 22 · 11:55L. Moravec2.75121011113A. Kral1.401012751WSep 22 · 11:25F. Marat1.91155111152A. Kral1.80171169113LSep 21 · 14:15A. Kral1.911191161P. Chlumsky1.8051113113LSep 21 · 12:55A. Kral2.00971513102M. Filipek1.7311111311123LSep 21 · 11:55A. Kral1.5711911882F. Balcar2.25811811113WSep 21 · 10:55A. Kral2.0011811113P. Chlumsky1.73311881LSep 19 · 10:34J. Kulveit1.80116115113A. Kral1.9091171192
R. Jamrich10
WSep 23 · 08:55F. Balcar1.501112611102R. Jamrich2.509101113123LSep 23 · 07:25R. Jamrich1.8369111192M. Filipek1.83111167113WSep 19 · 10:04J. Dvorak1.619850R. Jamrich2.201111113LSep 19 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.801111113R. Jamrich1.913970LSep 19 · 08:25A. Kral1.5711711123R. Jamrich2.259119101LSep 19 · 07:25R. Jamrich2.0041111892J. Dvorak1.73114711113LSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590LSep 18 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.2049100D. Tichy1.611111123LSep 18 · 15:55R. Jamrich1.5710911111J. Dvorak2.2512117133WSep 18 · 14:55R. Jamrich1.80111012143F. Marat1.9161210121
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