TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Frantisek Balcar vs Robert Jamrich 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Frantisek Balcar
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119121061111131012
Robert Jamrich
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Balcar to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Balcar above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 105 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Frantisek Balcar at 58.2%
105 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Balcar 3–1 Robert Jamrich Robert Jamrich has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Balcar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Balcar
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Balcar 1487 vs Jamrich 1413
Balcar
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Balcar 20% vs Jamrich 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Balcar 50% vs Jamrich 20%
Balcar
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Balcar -4 · Jamrich -2
Balcar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Balcar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jamrich form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalcar 1.50 / Jamrich 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Balcar)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13180659
Balcar1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 25 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Jamrich2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 22 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBalcar3wins
AwayJamrich1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBalcar leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalcar66.7%2 of 3
AwayJamrichn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balcar3Jamrich1n = 4Balcar took 3 of 4
S2Balcar4Jamrich0n = 4Balcar took 4 of 4
S3Balcar3Jamrich1n = 4Balcar took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBalcarJamrichB − JBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.032.5+6.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalcarJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 243 vs 130 / 29149%44.7%119 / 243 vs 130 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalcarBalcar 1.50/Jamrich 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Balcar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jamrich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 23 · 08:55F. Balcar501112611102R. Jamrich559101113123
WSep 1 · 17:25F. Balcar331111113R. Jamrich228770
WSep 1 · 15:20F. Balcar4071111113R. Jamrich35119781
WJul 22 · 12:55F. Balcar331111113R. Jamrich185580
F. Balcar10
LSep 23 · 07:55F. Balcar1.91612101152M. Filipek1.801110127113LSep 23 · 06:55F. Balcar2.208118101A. Kral1.6111811123LSep 22 · 10:10R. Muller1.92712911113F. Balcar1.78111011892LSep 22 · 09:25B. Budik1.874111319113F. Balcar1.83116151752WSep 22 · 08:25F. Balcar1.91612811133M. Filipek1.801110119112LSep 22 · 06:55R. Muller2.251111133F. Balcar1.5787110WSep 21 · 14:45F. Balcar1.801111113M. Filipek1.906670WSep 21 · 13:25F. Balcar1.571281110113P. Chlumsky2.25101171232WSep 21 · 11:55A. Kral1.5711911882F. Balcar2.25811811113WSep 21 · 11:25M. Filipek1.801312111372F. Balcar1.911514711113
R. Jamrich10
LSep 23 · 08:25A. Kral1.50911811113R. Jamrich2.5011711482LSep 23 · 07:25R. Jamrich1.8369111192M. Filipek1.83111167113WSep 19 · 10:04J. Dvorak1.619850R. Jamrich2.201111113LSep 19 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.801111113R. Jamrich1.913970LSep 19 · 08:25A. Kral1.5711711123R. Jamrich2.259119101LSep 19 · 07:25R. Jamrich2.0041111892J. Dvorak1.73114711113LSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590LSep 18 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.2049100D. Tichy1.611111123LSep 18 · 15:55R. Jamrich1.5710911111J. Dvorak2.2512117133WSep 18 · 14:55R. Jamrich1.80111012143F. Marat1.9161210121
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