TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pavel Vinansky vs Laurent Lasota 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115117––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timePavel Vinansky to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Vinansky above · Laurent Lasota below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 50 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Pavel Vinansky at 66.7%
50 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Vinansky 4–3 Laurent Lasota Laurent Lasota has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vinansky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vinansky 1607 vs Lasota 1520
Vinansky
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinansky 80% vs Lasota 40%
Vinansky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinansky 70% vs Lasota 40%
Vinansky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinansky +1 · Lasota -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Vinansky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinansky 1.40 / Lasota 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Vinansky)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13208254
Vinansky1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 26)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite75% won 38 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Lasota2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 14) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 43 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back29% 12 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVinansky4wins
AwayLasota3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderVinansky leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVinansky75%3 of 4
AwayLasota66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vinansky4Lasota3n = 7Vinansky took 4 of 7
S2Vinansky3Lasota4n = 7Lasota took 4 of 7
S3Vinansky4Lasota3n = 7Vinansky took 4 of 7
S4Vinansky2Lasota1n = 3Vinansky took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricVinanskyLasotaV − LBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.333.0+4.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinanskyLasotaBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 120 vs 144 / 29060%49.7%72 / 120 vs 144 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinanskyVinansky 1.40/Lasota 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Vinansky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vinansky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 18 · 09:10P. Vinansky3961111113L. Lasota36119791
WAug 18 · 08:10P. Vinansky351311113L. Lasota1911530
WAug 17 · 12:15P. Vinansky48119116113L. Lasota3871141152
WJul 5 · 11:45P. Vinansky331111113L. Lasota163490
LJul 1 · 11:45P. Vinansky511410101162L. Lasota531212126113
LMay 24 · 17:20P. Vinansky2791080L. Lasota341112113
LMay 24 · 13:45P. Vinansky2881190L. Lasota351113113
P. Vinansky10
LSep 28 · 10:45P. Vinansky1.36661191J. Volny3.0011116113WSep 26 · 13:15A. Cizek1.931111211102P. Vinansky1.77132118123LSep 26 · 11:45A. Cizek2.75511811113P. Vinansky1.4011611642WSep 26 · 11:15J. Volny2.255580P. Vinansky1.571111113WSep 26 · 10:15P. Vinansky1.5015611113T. Lysek2.501311361WSep 21 · 20:43P. Vinansky1.8014411113D. Branny1.911211981WSep 21 · 20:15P. Vinansky2.001113133D. Branny1.73711110LSep 21 · 18:45E. Precek2.0011411113P. Vinansky1.73811331LSep 21 · 18:15A. Kanak2.001191011113P. Vinansky1.7391112472WAug 27 · 08:43P. Vinansky1.80111157113D. Velky Jr1.9143111192
L. Lasota10
LSep 14 · 08:45L. Lasota1.839111181D. Pawlik1.8311133113LSep 14 · 08:15L. Lasota2.005990L. Dzida1.731111113WSep 14 · 06:45D. Pawlik1.8081181182L. Lasota1.91114119113LSep 14 · 06:15R. Sedlacek2.5011711113L. Lasota1.50311851WSep 10 · 17:10D. Branny1.61751191L. Lasota2.2011119113WSep 10 · 15:40L. Lasota1.7391111113R. Solle2.00116851LSep 10 · 14:40L. Lasota1.57711101292J. Przybyla2.251151210113LSep 10 · 13:40L. Lasota1.731194171D. Branny2.0071111193WSep 9 · 08:48L. Lasota1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006830LSep 9 · 08:10D. Pawlik1.83111212113L. Lasota1.834101441
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