TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Alina Kurtenko vs Yana Mykhailyk 3-1 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711114118116––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:23 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeAlina Kurtenko to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlina Kurtenko above · Yana Mykhailyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Alina Kurtenko at 76.6%
69 points played in total.
H2H Alina Kurtenko 23–11 Yana Mykhailyk Yana Mykhailyk has won 11 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-11 in 34
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 12 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1604 vs Mykhailyk 1443
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 20% vs Mykhailyk 60%
Mykhailyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 30% vs Mykhailyk 60%
Mykhailyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +1 · Mykhailyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kurtenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhailyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.28 / Mykhailyk 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Kurtenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13207483
Kurtenko1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 36 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it61% 19 of 31
Mykhailyk3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 49 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko7wins
AwayMykhailyk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKurtenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayMykhailyk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko6Mykhailyk4n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S2Kurtenko6Mykhailyk4n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S3Kurtenko5Mykhailyk4n = 9Kurtenko took 5 of 9
S4Kurtenko6Mykhailyk2n = 8Kurtenko took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoMykhailykK − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.7+5.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoMykhailykBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 217 vs 236 / 49051.6%48.2%112 / 217 vs 236 / 490Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.28/Mykhailyk 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 28 · 06:35A. Kurtenko4071111113Y. Mykhailyk29114861
WAug 5 · 07:00A. Kurtenko331111113Y. Mykhailyk166910
WJul 21 · 07:30A. Kurtenko3811511113Y. Mykhailyk30611941
LJul 16 · 10:00A. Kurtenko32811491Y. Mykhailyk3911611113
LJun 9 · 06:35A. Kurtenko351111581Y. Mykhailyk4381311113
LMar 5 · 09:05A. Kurtenko4194111162Y. Mykhailyk44111138113
WFeb 18 · 06:35A. Kurtenko4181111113Y. Mykhailyk29116481
WJan 22 · 10:05A. Kurtenko47116712113Y. Mykhailyk48811111082
WNov 12 · 10:05A. Kurtenko4211119113Y. Mykhailyk25531161
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 28 · 05:05A. Kurtenko1.57117118113P. Pashchenko2.2541161172LSep 16 · 10:30R. Budnyk1.53119811113A. Kurtenko2.3861111922LSep 16 · 09:30A. Kurtenko1.731161091U. Dronova2.0081112113LSep 16 · 08:30A. Kurtenko3.751161021A. Ovriakh1.2561112113LSep 16 · 07:00A. Kurtenko4.508121151I. Yevtodii1.17111013113LSep 16 · 05:00A. Kurtenko3.257890N. Plokhotniuk1.331111113LSep 13 · 17:40A. Kurtenko1.80129911162A. Rzhevska1.911011118183WSep 13 · 15:40U. Dronova1.834460A. Kurtenko1.83111162WSep 13 · 13:40S. Yureneva4.338880A. Kurtenko1.201111103LSep 13 · 12:40A. Kurtenko1.50111051182P. Pashchenko2.50712119113
Y. Mykhailyk10
LSep 28 · 05:35Y. Mykhailyk2.508440O. Kolbasenko1.501111113WSep 14 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk2.631211123A. Rzhevska1.44107100WSep 14 · 09:00P. Pashchenko1.913117101Y. Mykhailyk1.8011511123LSep 14 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.0073111192S. Yureneva1.36111189113WSep 14 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.289131161Y. Mykhailyk3.5011155113LSep 14 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.2511112111U. Dronova1.3313811133LSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113
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