TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13137130
Played Sep 16Finished
Roksolana Budnyk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116911811119112
Alina Kurtenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:36 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeRoksolana Budnyk to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoksolana Budnyk above · Alina Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 89 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Roksolana Budnyk at 61.2%
89 points played in total.
H2H Roksolana Budnyk 13–8 Alina Kurtenko Alina Kurtenko has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Budnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-8 in 21
Budnyk
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budnyk 1693 vs Kurtenko 1591
Budnyk
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budnyk 40% vs Kurtenko 0%
Budnyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budnyk 40% vs Kurtenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budnyk +1 · Kurtenko -5
Kurtenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Budnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudnyk 1.53 / Kurtenko 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Budnyk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13137130
Budnyk1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 7 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Kurtenko2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 16 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBudnyk6wins
AwayKurtenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBudnyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudnyk71.4%5 of 7
AwayKurtenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budnyk7Kurtenko3n = 10Budnyk took 7 of 10
S2Budnyk6Kurtenko4n = 10Budnyk took 6 of 10
S3Budnyk5Kurtenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Budnyk4Kurtenko4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBudnykKurtenkoB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.734.4+4.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudnykKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 109 vs 119 / 22751.4%52.4%56 / 109 vs 119 / 227Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudnykBudnyk 1.53/Kurtenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Budnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Budnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 10:00R. Budnyk351113113A. Kurtenko2481150
WJul 23 · 07:00R. Budnyk331111113A. Kurtenko176560
LMar 26 · 09:35R. Budnyk49881112102A. Kurtenko521111810123
LMar 25 · 16:44R. Budnyk31115781A. Kurtenko3851111113
WMar 25 · 14:10R. Budnyk511111117113A. Kurtenko4161351162
WMar 10 · 09:00R. Budnyk43111110113A. Kurtenko37981281
WFeb 25 · 11:40R. Budnyk4111118113A. Kurtenko30281191
LFeb 11 · 12:35R. Budnyk311110281A. Kurtenko4171211113
WOct 20 · 10:18R. Budnyk43101111113A. Kurtenko30127741
LOct 20 · 05:35R. Budnyk30711751A. Kurtenko3411111113
R. Budnyk10
WSep 16 · 09:00R. Budnyk4.00115811123I. Yevtodii1.22911114102LSep 16 · 07:30R. Budnyk1.735840U. Dronova2.001111113WSep 16 · 06:00R. Budnyk2.75811511113N. Plokhotniuk1.4011811882LSep 16 · 04:30R. Budnyk4.0081161142A. Ovriakh1.22118118113LSep 10 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.22101111113R. Budnyk4.00126681LSep 10 · 10:00A. Rzhevska2.501211133R. Budnyk1.50105110WSep 10 · 08:30P. Pashchenko2.25711981R. Budnyk1.5711611113LSep 10 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.301111113R. Budnyk3.408970WSep 10 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.3361090R. Budnyk3.251112113LSep 9 · 10:30P. Pashchenko2.751111113R. Budnyk1.406840
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 16 · 09:30A. Kurtenko1.731161091U. Dronova2.0081112113LSep 16 · 08:30A. Kurtenko3.751161021A. Ovriakh1.2561112113LSep 16 · 07:00A. Kurtenko4.508121151I. Yevtodii1.17111013113LSep 16 · 05:00A. Kurtenko3.257890N. Plokhotniuk1.331111113LSep 13 · 17:40A. Kurtenko1.80129911162A. Rzhevska1.911011118183WSep 13 · 15:40U. Dronova1.834460A. Kurtenko1.83111162WSep 13 · 13:40S. Yureneva4.338880A. Kurtenko1.201111103LSep 13 · 12:40A. Kurtenko1.50111051182P. Pashchenko2.50712119113WSep 13 · 11:40V. Kurtenko1.8311811592A. Kurtenko1.83911911113WAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571
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