TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13137129
Played Sep 16Finished
Roksolana Budnyk
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811118611118411
Alina Ovriakh
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 77.0% is still 77.0%
Graded at full timeAlina Ovriakh to win
77.0%
77.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoksolana Budnyk above · Alina Ovriakh below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 89 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Alina Ovriakh at 77.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Roksolana Budnyk 2–3 Alina Ovriakh Roksolana Budnyk has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Ovriakh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budnyk 1686 vs Ovriakh 1914
Ovriakh
Correct
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budnyk 40% vs Ovriakh 100%
Ovriakh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budnyk 40% vs Ovriakh 80%
Ovriakh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Budnyk -2 · Ovriakh +5
Ovriakh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Ovriakh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovriakh form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudnyk 4.00 / Ovriakh 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Ovriakh)+0.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13137129
Budnyk4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 7 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Ovriakh1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 41 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBudnyk2wins
AwayOvriakh3wins
Ovriakh leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudnykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayOvriakh75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budnyk1Ovriakh4n = 5Ovriakh took 4 of 5
S2Budnyk2Ovriakh3n = 5Ovriakh took 3 of 5
S3Budnyk2Ovriakh3n = 5Ovriakh took 3 of 5
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricBudnykOvriakhB − OBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match28.232.2−4.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudnykOvriakhBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 110 vs 59 / 8850%67.1%55 / 110 vs 59 / 88Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvriakhBudnyk 4.00/Ovriakh 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77%
Ovriakh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ovriakh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 10 · 06:30R. Budnyk248970A. Ovriakh331111113
LSep 9 · 08:30R. Budnyk2484120A. Ovriakh361111143
WAug 12 · 08:30R. Budnyk4291111113A. Ovriakh33118681
WJul 23 · 06:00R. Budnyk341111123A. Ovriakh2697100
LJul 6 · 04:30R. Budnyk174670A. Ovriakh331111113
R. Budnyk10
LSep 10 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.22101111113R. Budnyk4.00126681LSep 10 · 10:00A. Rzhevska2.501211133R. Budnyk1.50105110WSep 10 · 08:30P. Pashchenko2.25711981R. Budnyk1.5711611113LSep 10 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.301111113R. Budnyk3.408970WSep 10 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.3361090R. Budnyk3.251112113LSep 9 · 10:30P. Pashchenko2.751111113R. Budnyk1.406840WSep 9 · 09:30R. Budnyk4.331111113I. Yevtodii1.208890LSep 9 · 08:30R. Budnyk2.6384120A. Ovriakh1.441111143WSep 9 · 07:00R. Budnyk3.40811145113N. Plokhotniuk1.30118121192LSep 9 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.4411890A. Rzhevska2.631311113
A. Ovriakh10
WSep 10 · 11:30A. Ovriakh1.1412611113A. Rzhevska5.001011451WSep 10 · 09:30P. Pashchenko6.50117531A. Ovriakh1.1081111113WSep 10 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk2.209540A. Ovriakh1.611111113WSep 10 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.301111113R. Budnyk3.408970WSep 10 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.838950A. Ovriakh1.831111113LSep 9 · 11:00N. Plokhotniuk1.911112109113A. Ovriakh1.80610121182WSep 9 · 10:00A. Rzhevska5.00513591A. Ovriakh1.14111111113WSep 9 · 08:30R. Budnyk2.6384120A. Ovriakh1.441111143LSep 9 · 06:30I. Yevtodii1.831181211123A. Ovriakh1.83411147102WSep 9 · 04:30P. Pashchenko6.001191341A. Ovriakh1.1191115113
Upcoming Matches
R. Budnyk
A. Ovriakh
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.