TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Senyk vs Andrii Lanchut 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11112106111113119
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 81.8% is still 81.8%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
81.8%
81.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Andrii Lanchut below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 81.8%
95 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 14–1 Andrii Lanchut Andrii Lanchut has won 1 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-1 in 15
Senyk
Correct
gap of 13 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 649 vs Lanchut 350
Senyk
Correct
both rated, 299 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 60% vs Lanchut 20%
Senyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 60% vs Lanchut 30%
Senyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk -1 · Lanchut -4
Lanchut
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Senyk) · live re-read · sealed at 82% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 1.17 / Lanchut 4.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Senyk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13202283
Senyk1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 78 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it82% 56 of 68
Lanchut4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog12% won 4 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk9wins
AwayLanchut1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk100%7 of 7
AwayLanchut33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk7Lanchut3n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S2Senyk7Lanchut3n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S3Senyk8Lanchut2n = 10Senyk took 8 of 10
S4Senyk2Lanchut2n = 4split evenly
S5Senyk3Lanchut0n = 3Senyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykLanchutS − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.131.5+6.6per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykLanchutBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 356 vs 9 / 8742.1%10.3%150 / 356 vs 9 / 87Avg sets wonper match1.80.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.229.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSenyk 1.17/Lanchut 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 10:55M. Senyk331111113A. Lanchut237970
LSep 1 · 11:35M. Senyk2771280A. Lanchut361114113
WAug 13 · 06:25M. Senyk47128133113A. Lanchut521011111192
WAug 12 · 18:25M. Senyk341112113A. Lanchut2681080
WJul 18 · 07:25M. Senyk48871111113A. Lanchut4411119672
WJul 17 · 15:55M. Senyk331111113A. Lanchut205690
WJul 10 · 05:55M. Senyk4211117133A. Lanchut324611111
WNov 14 · 05:25M. Senyk481011115113A. Lanchut4112681142
WOct 22 · 15:55M. Senyk331111113A. Lanchut178540
WOct 17 · 15:25M. Senyk361111143A. Lanchut2457120
M. Senyk10
WSep 27 · 17:55V. Moroz3.7511611652M. Senyk1.25911611113LSep 27 · 15:53M. Senyk2.505121191V. Slobodian1.5011145113WSep 27 · 14:25M. Senyk1.3311126993O. Kulbach3.25710111182WSep 27 · 12:25M. Senyk1.61119911113V. Sydorchuk2.2091111972LSep 22 · 10:25M. Senyk3.25511361R. Skoropad1.3311411113WSep 22 · 08:55M. Senyk7.001011115113O. Martynenko1.0812621172WSep 22 · 07:25M. Senyk1.61116137113V. Sydorchuk2.20911111182LSep 22 · 05:55M. Senyk5.001014751B. Pyrtyk1.14121211113LSep 22 · 04:25M. Senyk7.00781191Y. Shcherbak1.0811115113WSep 19 · 10:55M. Senyk1.2813116113M. Kornijchuk3.501191181
A. Lanchut10
LSep 27 · 14:55V. Moroz1.671112113A. Lanchut2.1061090LSep 27 · 13:55A. Lanchut4.004610V. Slobodian1.22111143LSep 27 · 12:55O. Kulbach1.611111103A. Lanchut2.207660LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123
Upcoming Matches
M. Senyk
Nothing scheduled
A. Lanchut
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