TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasyl Moroz vs Mykhailo Senyk 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119611116611511
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moroz above · Mykhailo Senyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 87 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 76.6%
87 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moroz 5–19 Mykhailo Senyk Vasyl Moroz has won 5 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-19 in 24
Senyk
Correct
gap of 14 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moroz 500 vs Senyk 632
Senyk
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moroz 40% vs Senyk 60%
Senyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moroz 50% vs Senyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moroz +2 · Senyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Senyk) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoroz 3.75 / Senyk 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Senyk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13202808
Moroz3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 23 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Senyk1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 78 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it82% 56 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoroz2wins
AwaySenyk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoroz25%1 of 4
AwaySenyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moroz4Senyk6n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S2Moroz3Senyk7n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S3Moroz3Senyk7n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S4Moroz2Senyk4n = 6Senyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMorozSenykM − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.638.6−4.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorozSenykBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 121 vs 151 / 35731.4%42.3%38 / 121 vs 151 / 357Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.035.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykMoroz 3.75/Senyk 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 18 · 17:55V. Moroz193880M. Senyk331111113
WSep 13 · 10:55V. Moroz331111113M. Senyk194690
LSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz38991461M. Senyk45111112113
LAug 7 · 08:55V. Moroz4711881282M. Senyk452111110113
LAug 6 · 08:55V. Moroz186480M. Senyk331111113
LAug 5 · 17:55V. Moroz4181111111M. Senyk4611913133
WJul 9 · 17:55V. Moroz49911711113M. Senyk4411711872
LJul 2 · 08:55V. Moroz33116791M. Senyk4071111113
LJul 1 · 15:55V. Moroz335711101M. Senyk4211118123
V. Moroz10
WSep 27 · 16:25V. Moroz1.401311113O. Kulbach2.7511660WSep 27 · 14:55V. Moroz1.671112113A. Lanchut2.1061090LSep 27 · 13:25V. Moroz4.506101131V. Sydorchuk1.1711128113LSep 18 · 17:55M. Senyk1.441111113V. Moroz2.633880LSep 18 · 16:55V. Moroz4.00115471O. Bolnyh1.2261111113LSep 18 · 15:55V. Moroz4.334830V. Sydorchuk1.201111113WSep 18 · 14:25V. Moroz2.25981111113M. Kornijchuk1.5711119992LSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113WSep 13 · 09:55O. Kulbach2.3837100V. Moroz1.531111123
M. Senyk10
WSep 27 · 16:55M. Senyk1.171112611113A. Lanchut4.50110111392LSep 27 · 15:53M. Senyk2.505121191V. Slobodian1.5011145113WSep 27 · 14:25M. Senyk1.3311126993O. Kulbach3.25710111182WSep 27 · 12:25M. Senyk1.61119911113V. Sydorchuk2.2091111972LSep 22 · 10:25M. Senyk3.25511361R. Skoropad1.3311411113WSep 22 · 08:55M. Senyk7.001011115113O. Martynenko1.0812621172WSep 22 · 07:25M. Senyk1.61116137113V. Sydorchuk2.20911111182LSep 22 · 05:55M. Senyk5.001014751B. Pyrtyk1.14121211113WSep 18 · 17:55M. Senyk1.441111113V. Moroz2.633880LSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113
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