TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Kateryna Bondarenko vs Oleksandra Ivchenko 3-0 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKateryna Bondarenko above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 75.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Kateryna Bondarenko 16–3 Oleksandra Ivchenko Oleksandra Ivchenko has won 3 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bondarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-3 in 19
Bondarenko
Correct
gap of 13 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1655 vs Ivchenko 1593
Bondarenko
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 80% vs Ivchenko 60%
Bondarenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 70% vs Ivchenko 50%
Bondarenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko -1 · Ivchenko +3
Ivchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.36 / Ivchenko 3.00
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Bondarenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13196624
Bondarenko1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 79 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it85% 50 of 59
Ivchenko3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 20 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarenko10wins
AwayIvchenko0wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBondarenko leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko100%5 of 5
AwayIvchenko0%0 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Bondarenko7Ivchenko3n = 10Bondarenko took 7 of 10
S3Bondarenko7Ivchenko3n = 10Bondarenko took 7 of 10
S4Bondarenko7Ivchenko2n = 9Bondarenko took 7 of 9
S5Bondarenko4Ivchenko0n = 4Bondarenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarenkoIvchenkoB − IBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.037.4+6.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 133 vs 331 / 54069.2%61.3%92 / 133 vs 331 / 540Avg sets wonper match2.52.3per matchAvg pointsper match41.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.36/Ivchenko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bondarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 15:35K. Bondarenko4181111113O. Ivchenko30119461
WAug 29 · 13:05K. Bondarenko4011117113O. Ivchenko29781131
WAug 16 · 17:35K. Bondarenko46451111153O. Ivchenko48111167132
WAug 7 · 16:35K. Bondarenko3711411113O. Ivchenko32611781
WAug 1 · 15:05K. Bondarenko50811119113O. Ivchenko4511971172
WJul 31 · 14:35K. Bondarenko46811124113O. Ivchenko50119101192
WJul 18 · 19:35K. Bondarenko5511111111113O. Ivchenko4113913242
WJul 17 · 17:05K. Bondarenko46111311113O. Ivchenko37915671
WJul 5 · 15:35K. Bondarenko4511158113O. Ivchenko397131181
WJun 20 · 14:35K. Bondarenko341111123O. Ivchenko2349100
K. Bondarenko10
LSep 26 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.509830V. Shevchuk2.50111163WSep 26 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.221111113K. Tymchenko4.005890WSep 19 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.361111113A. Lapa3.008820WSep 19 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.5011118113A. Volgina2.50571141WSep 19 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.4081111113O. Ivchenko2.75119461WSep 19 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.28611812113O. Bondareva3.50115111072WSep 19 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.611111113V. Shevchuk2.2075100LSep 10 · 19:05K. Bondarenko1.6787111262M. Gordeets2.101111510113WSep 10 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.6311114572K. Bondarenko1.44971111113LSep 10 · 16:05K. Bondarenko1.50124691V. Shevchuk2.50101111113
O. Ivchenko10
WSep 26 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.33711711113K. Tymchenko3.2511811362WSep 26 · 13:35M. Gordeets1.80811150O. Ivchenko1.911113173WSep 20 · 17:40A. Gorchakova2.63117851O. Ivchenko1.4491111113LSep 20 · 17:05A. Volgina1.8311812123O. Ivchenko1.8351110101LSep 20 · 15:35O. Ivchenko1.4411117442A. Gorchakova2.6393111173WSep 20 · 14:05O. Ivchenko1.441311113A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.6311890LSep 20 · 12:35O. Ivchenko1.804750V. Shevchuk1.911111113LSep 19 · 19:35O. Ivchenko1.22412351O. Bondareva4.00111011113WSep 19 · 17:35A. Lapa2.75113741O. Ivchenko1.4071111113LSep 19 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.4081111113O. Ivchenko2.75119461
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