TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118119––––
Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:38 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandra Ivchenko to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandra Ivchenko above · Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 63 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandra Ivchenko at 68.1%
63 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandra Ivchenko 72–39 Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko has won 39 of their 111 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ivchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-39 in 111
Ivchenko
Correct
gap of 33 in 111, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivchenko 1566 vs Hordynska-Sheiko 1350
Ivchenko
Correct
both rated, 216 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivchenko 40% vs Hordynska-Sheiko 20%
Ivchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivchenko 40% vs Hordynska-Sheiko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivchenko -2 · Hordynska-Sheiko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Ivchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hordynska-Sheiko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvchenko 1.44 / Hordynska-Sheiko 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Ivchenko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup Women · #13162277
Ivchenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 116 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 80 of 102
Hordynska-Sheiko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog25% won 38 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvchenko6wins
AwayHordynska-Sheiko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderIvchenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvchenko66.7%6 of 9
AwayHordynska-Sheikon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivchenko9Hordynska-Sheiko1n = 10Ivchenko took 9 of 10
S2Ivchenko7Hordynska-Sheiko3n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S3Ivchenko5Hordynska-Sheiko5n = 10split evenly
S4Ivchenko1Hordynska-Sheiko6n = 7Hordynska-Sheiko took 6 of 7
S5Ivchenko2Hordynska-Sheiko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvchenkoHordynska-SheikoI − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.837.4+3.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvchenkoHordynska-SheikoBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 545 vs 150 / 45160.9%33.3%332 / 545 vs 150 / 451Avg sets wonper match2.31.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoIvchenko 1.44/Hordynska-Sheiko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ivchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 15:35O. Ivchenko3611211752A. Hordynska-Sheiko48811711113
WAug 29 · 16:05O. Ivchenko511111117113A. Hordynska-Sheiko4869131192
WAug 22 · 17:05O. Ivchenko561671111113A. Hordynska-Sheiko50141161362
WAug 15 · 17:05O. Ivchenko371114123A. Hordynska-Sheiko28612100
WAug 1 · 17:05O. Ivchenko331111113A. Hordynska-Sheiko186660
LJul 19 · 12:35O. Ivchenko4081110111A. Hordynska-Sheiko4111512133
WJul 11 · 12:35O. Ivchenko351111133A. Hordynska-Sheiko2669110
WJul 4 · 15:05O. Ivchenko4211119113A. Hordynska-Sheiko27751141
LJun 28 · 15:35O. Ivchenko321110561A. Hordynska-Sheiko4061211113
LJun 27 · 15:05O. Ivchenko46111181062A. Hordynska-Sheiko48771112113
O. Ivchenko10
LSep 20 · 12:35O. Ivchenko1.804750V. Shevchuk1.911111113LSep 19 · 19:35O. Ivchenko1.22412351O. Bondareva4.00111011113WSep 19 · 17:35A. Lapa2.75113741O. Ivchenko1.4071111113LSep 19 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.4081111113O. Ivchenko2.75119461WSep 19 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.831111123V. Shevchuk1.8378100WSep 19 · 13:35A. Volgina1.834990O. Ivchenko1.831111113LSep 12 · 19:35O. Ivchenko1.83910111142M. Gordeets1.83111274113WSep 12 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.00981461O. Ivchenko1.3611111262LSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102LSep 12 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.8091181172V. Shevchuk1.9111611783
A. Hordynska-Sheiko10
LSep 20 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.2581090A. Gorchakova1.331112113LSep 12 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3611117113A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.00491161LSep 12 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.00981461O. Ivchenko1.3611111262WSep 12 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko6.0012148113V. Shevchuk1.1110121191LSep 12 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25119131082A. Volgina1.33811111293LSep 12 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.0051190M. Gordeets1.221113113LSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113LSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112WSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892
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