TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711511––––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandra Ivchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandra Ivchenko above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 49 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandra Ivchenko at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandra Ivchenko 24–19 Viktoria Shevchuk Viktoria Shevchuk has won 19 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ivchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-19 in 43
Ivchenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivchenko 1579 vs Shevchuk 1598
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivchenko 60% vs Shevchuk 20%
Ivchenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivchenko 50% vs Shevchuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivchenko -1 · Shevchuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ivchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvchenko 1.80 / Shevchuk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ivchenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13161429
Ivchenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 116 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 80 of 102
Shevchuk1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 21 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back36% 8 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvchenko4wins
AwayShevchuk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvchenko60%3 of 5
AwayShevchuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivchenko6Shevchuk4n = 10Ivchenko took 6 of 10
S3Ivchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Ivchenko4Shevchuk4n = 8split evenly
S5Ivchenko1Shevchuk2n = 3Shevchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvchenkoShevchukI − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.140.8+0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvchenkoShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 545 vs 164 / 28760.9%57.1%332 / 545 vs 164 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoIvchenko 1.80/Shevchuk 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 19 · 14:35O. Ivchenko341111123V. Shevchuk2578100
LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko36136891V. Shevchuk44111111113
LSep 5 · 17:35O. Ivchenko29491151V. Shevchuk4111118113
WAug 23 · 16:05O. Ivchenko3851111113V. Shevchuk28116741
LAug 22 · 16:05O. Ivchenko491111111152V. Shevchuk48131383113
WAug 15 · 16:05O. Ivchenko53111611153V. Shevchuk4661413131
WAug 7 · 14:35O. Ivchenko48111149133V. Shevchuk47771111112
LAug 1 · 13:35O. Ivchenko42112111082V. Shevchuk47711612113
O. Ivchenko10
LSep 19 · 19:35O. Ivchenko1.22412351O. Bondareva4.00111011113WSep 19 · 17:35A. Lapa2.75113741O. Ivchenko1.4071111113LSep 19 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.4081111113O. Ivchenko2.75119461WSep 19 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.831111123V. Shevchuk1.8378100WSep 19 · 13:35A. Volgina1.834990O. Ivchenko1.831111113LSep 12 · 19:35O. Ivchenko1.83910111142M. Gordeets1.83111274113WSep 12 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.00981461O. Ivchenko1.3611111262LSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102LSep 12 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.8091181172V. Shevchuk1.9111611783WSep 12 · 13:35A. Volgina1.91143791O. Ivchenko1.80121111113
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 20 · 13:35A. Volgina1.80128127102V. Shevchuk1.9110111011113LSep 19 · 19:05A. Volgina1.831111113V. Shevchuk1.837870LSep 19 · 18:05O. Bondareva3.251211113V. Shevchuk1.3310940WSep 19 · 16:35A. Lapa3.4081112872V. Shevchuk1.301181011113LSep 19 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.831111123V. Shevchuk1.8378100LSep 19 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.611111113V. Shevchuk2.2075100WSep 12 · 19:05A. Volgina1.8011881292V. Shevchuk1.918111110113LSep 12 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.73117811113V. Shevchuk2.0041111882LSep 12 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko6.0012148113V. Shevchuk1.1110121191WSep 12 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.8091181172V. Shevchuk1.9111611783
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