TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Sep 20Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711811511––
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 18–44 Oleksandra Ivchenko Anna Gorchakova has won 18 of their 62 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Gorchakova beat Ivchenko 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Ivchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 2.63 / Ivchenko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Ivchenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup Women · #13165888
Gorchakova2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 42 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Ivchenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 116 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 80 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova4wins
AwayIvchenko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderIvchenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova66.7%2 of 3
AwayIvchenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova3Ivchenko7n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S2Gorchakova2Ivchenko8n = 10Ivchenko took 8 of 10
S3Gorchakova5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Gorchakova6Ivchenko1n = 7Gorchakova took 6 of 7
S5Gorchakova2Ivchenko3n = 5Ivchenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaIvchenkoG − IBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.642.5−0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 431 vs 331 / 54646.4%60.6%200 / 431 vs 331 / 546Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoGorchakova 2.63/Ivchenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova46113119123O. Ivchenko45811511102
WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova43111011113O. Ivchenko32712581
WAug 30 · 19:05A. Gorchakova51812515113O. Ivchenko521110111372
LAug 23 · 14:05A. Gorchakova259970O. Ivchenko331111113
LAug 22 · 15:05A. Gorchakova48871111112O. Ivchenko52111189133
LAug 16 · 14:35A. Gorchakova197570O. Ivchenko331111113
LAug 7 · 12:35A. Gorchakova49912111162O. Ivchenko48111493113
LJul 25 · 16:35A. Gorchakova52911121192O. Ivchenko45113146113
A. Gorchakova10
LSep 20 · 16:35A. Gorchakova3.756950V. Shevchuk1.251111113WSep 20 · 15:35O. Ivchenko1.4411117442A. Gorchakova2.6393111173LSep 20 · 14:35A. Volgina1.441111113A. Gorchakova2.638670WSep 20 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.2581090A. Gorchakova1.331112113WSep 12 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3611117113A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.00491161LSep 12 · 17:05A. Gorchakova3.0081411141A. Volgina1.3611167163WSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102LSep 12 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.759700M. Gordeets1.25111113LSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.75131511852V. Shevchuk1.251117511113WSep 10 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3311911113Y. Severina3.25511831
O. Ivchenko10
LSep 20 · 17:05A. Volgina1.8311812123O. Ivchenko1.8351110101LSep 20 · 15:35O. Ivchenko1.4411117442A. Gorchakova2.6393111173WSep 20 · 14:05O. Ivchenko1.441311113A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.6311890LSep 20 · 12:35O. Ivchenko1.804750V. Shevchuk1.911111113LSep 19 · 19:35O. Ivchenko1.22412351O. Bondareva4.00111011113WSep 19 · 17:35A. Lapa2.75113741O. Ivchenko1.4071111113LSep 19 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.4081111113O. Ivchenko2.75119461WSep 19 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.831111123V. Shevchuk1.8378100WSep 19 · 13:35A. Volgina1.834990O. Ivchenko1.831111113LSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102
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