TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Sep 20Finished
Anastasiia Volgina
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116117––––
Anna Gorchakova
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:06 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Anna Gorchakova below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-5
Point 48 set 3, 7-5 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 66.5%
48 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 43–23 Anna Gorchakova Anna Gorchakova has won 23 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Volgina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-23 in 66
Volgina
Correct
gap of 20 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1601 vs Gorchakova 1548
Volgina
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 40% vs Gorchakova 60%
Gorchakova
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 50% vs Gorchakova 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina -1 · Gorchakova +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Volgina) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 1.44 / Gorchakova 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Volgina)+1.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13162082
Volgina1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 108 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it98% 61 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it88% 75 of 85
Gorchakova2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 42 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina7wins
AwayGorchakova3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolgina80%4 of 5
AwayGorchakova40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina5Gorchakova5n = 10split evenly
S2Volgina8Gorchakova2n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S3Volgina7Gorchakova3n = 10Volgina took 7 of 10
S4Volgina5Gorchakova3n = 8Volgina took 5 of 8
S5Volgina1Gorchakova2n = 3Gorchakova took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaGorchakovaV − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.537.6+5.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaGorchakovaBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 621 vs 199 / 42855.9%46.5%347 / 621 vs 199 / 428Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaVolgina 1.44/Gorchakova 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 17:05A. Volgina5011167163A. Gorchakova4781411141
LSep 10 · 15:35A. Volgina521411115112A. Gorchakova53169411133
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina4391211113A. Gorchakova351110861
LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina49111189102A. Gorchakova49961111123
WAug 30 · 16:05A. Volgina50891111113A. Gorchakova3611113562
WAug 23 · 12:35A. Volgina4111117123A. Gorchakova357711101
WAug 22 · 17:35A. Volgina351113113A. Gorchakova2391130
LAug 16 · 18:05A. Volgina37991181A. Gorchakova4211119113
WAug 14 · 14:05A. Volgina331111113A. Gorchakova226790
WAug 7 · 14:05A. Volgina45121111113A. Gorchakova34148571
A. Volgina10
LSep 20 · 13:35A. Volgina1.80128127102V. Shevchuk1.9110111011113WSep 19 · 19:05A. Volgina1.831111113V. Shevchuk1.837870LSep 19 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.5011118113A. Volgina2.50571141LSep 19 · 16:05A. Volgina1.531110841O. Bondareva2.3891211113WSep 19 · 15:05A. Lapa2.509750A. Volgina1.501111113LSep 19 · 13:35A. Volgina1.834990O. Ivchenko1.831111113LSep 12 · 19:05A. Volgina1.8011881292V. Shevchuk1.918111110113WSep 12 · 17:05A. Gorchakova3.0081411141A. Volgina1.3611167163WSep 12 · 16:05A. Volgina1.8311811113M. Gordeets1.83811741WSep 12 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25119131082A. Volgina1.33811111293
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 20 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.2581090A. Gorchakova1.331112113WSep 12 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3611117113A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.00491161LSep 12 · 17:05A. Gorchakova3.0081411141A. Volgina1.3611167163WSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102LSep 12 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.759700M. Gordeets1.25111113LSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.75131511852V. Shevchuk1.251117511113WSep 10 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3311911113Y. Severina3.25511831LSep 10 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.6311114572K. Bondarenko1.44971111113WSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75169411133A. Volgina1.401411115112LSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113
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