TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Sep 20Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911511––––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 76.6%
53 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 8–24 Viktoria Shevchuk Anna Gorchakova has won 8 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Shevchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-24 in 32
Shevchuk
Correct
gap of 16 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1551 vs Shevchuk 1616
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 60% vs Shevchuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 50% vs Shevchuk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova +1 · Shevchuk +3
Shevchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Shevchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 3.75 / Shevchuk 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Shevchuk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13161763
Gorchakova3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 42 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Shevchuk1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 88 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it82% 74 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova2wins
AwayShevchuk8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova0%0 of 3
AwayShevchuk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S2Gorchakova3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S3Gorchakova3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S4Gorchakova1Shevchuk6n = 7Shevchuk took 6 of 7
S5Gorchakova2Shevchuk1n = 3Gorchakova took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaShevchukG − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.441.2−6.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 430 vs 167 / 29046.5%57.6%200 / 430 vs 167 / 290Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukGorchakova 3.75/Shevchuk 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova52131511852V. Shevchuk551117511113
LSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova33971161V. Shevchuk4011117113
WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova47511119113V. Shevchuk4511791172
LSep 5 · 16:35A. Gorchakova28611651V. Shevchuk4011711113
LAug 30 · 13:35A. Gorchakova247980V. Shevchuk331111113
LAug 23 · 17:05A. Gorchakova217950V. Shevchuk331111113
LAug 22 · 13:05A. Gorchakova321173111V. Shevchuk4381111133
LAug 20 · 18:05A. Gorchakova4311101391V. Shevchuk4571215113
WAug 14 · 12:35A. Gorchakova49911711113V. Shevchuk4511911592
LAug 7 · 15:35A. Gorchakova155460V. Shevchuk331111113
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 20 · 15:35O. Ivchenko1.4411117442A. Gorchakova2.6393111173LSep 20 · 14:35A. Volgina1.441111113A. Gorchakova2.638670WSep 20 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.2581090A. Gorchakova1.331112113WSep 12 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3611117113A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.00491161LSep 12 · 17:05A. Gorchakova3.0081411141A. Volgina1.3611167163WSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102LSep 12 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.759700M. Gordeets1.25111113LSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.75131511852V. Shevchuk1.251117511113WSep 10 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3311911113Y. Severina3.25511831LSep 10 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.6311114572K. Bondarenko1.44971111113
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 20 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.509550V. Shevchuk1.17111193WSep 20 · 13:35A. Volgina1.80128127102V. Shevchuk1.9110111011113WSep 20 · 12:35O. Ivchenko1.804750V. Shevchuk1.911111113LSep 19 · 19:05A. Volgina1.831111113V. Shevchuk1.837870LSep 19 · 18:05O. Bondareva3.251211113V. Shevchuk1.3310940WSep 19 · 16:35A. Lapa3.4081112872V. Shevchuk1.301181011113LSep 19 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.831111123V. Shevchuk1.8378100LSep 19 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.611111113V. Shevchuk2.2075100WSep 12 · 19:05A. Volgina1.8011881292V. Shevchuk1.918111110113WSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.75131511852V. Shevchuk1.251117511113
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