TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Milan Dvorak vs Zdenek Zahradka 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Milan Dvorak
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117113––––
Zdenek Zahradka
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMilan Dvorak above · Zdenek Zahradka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 54 set 3, 11-3
54 points played in total.
H2H Milan Dvorak 20–22 Zdenek Zahradka Milan Dvorak has won 20 of their 42 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Dvorak beat Zahradka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 1.85 / Zahradka 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dvorak)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13190896
Dvorak1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Zahradka1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvorak6wins
AwayZahradka4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDvorak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvorak66.7%2 of 3
AwayZahradka42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvorak3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S2Dvorak8Zahradka2n = 10Dvorak took 8 of 10
S3Dvorak7Zahradka3n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10
S4Dvorak4Zahradka4n = 8split evenly
S5Dvorak1Zahradka2n = 3Zahradka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvorakZahradkaD − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.537.3+4.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 351 vs 401 / 81547.9%49.2%168 / 351 vs 401 / 815Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakDvorak 1.85/Zahradka 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 14:20M. Dvorak492111114113Z. Zahradka4911591682
WSep 16 · 14:20M. Dvorak4291111113Z. Zahradka36118891
WSep 4 · 15:25M. Dvorak4411913113Z. Zahradka336111151
WAug 17 · 18:00M. Dvorak48101611113Z. Zahradka421214971
LAug 17 · 14:20M. Dvorak4691111782Z. Zahradka42116311113
WJul 23 · 16:20M. Dvorak341111123Z. Zahradka1422100
LJun 30 · 14:20M. Dvorak52121111992Z. Zahradka531081311113
LJun 24 · 15:50M. Dvorak37912791Z. Zahradka43111011113
LJun 8 · 18:00M. Dvorak2311480Z. Zahradka351311113
WJun 8 · 16:25M. Dvorak4071111113Z. Zahradka26114831
M. Dvorak10
WSep 24 · 16:50P. Moravec1.6711812752M. Dvorak2.108111011113WSep 24 · 15:50M. Dvorak1.911111113J. Hendrych1.802530WSep 24 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.8311591682M. Dvorak1.832111114113LSep 21 · 18:00J. Dvorak1.91113114113M. Dvorak1.8091161172WSep 21 · 16:50J. Dvorak1.804119101M. Dvorak1.9111511123WSep 21 · 15:50M. Dvorak1.8371111113D. Tichy1.83114691LSep 21 · 14:20J. Cerny1.8061111113M. Dvorak1.91119991WSep 17 · 17:30D. Sykora1.709630M. Dvorak2.021111113LSep 17 · 16:50M. Sochor1.80131110113M. Dvorak1.911161271LSep 17 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00612661J. Hendrych1.73111011113
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.67101111113J. Hendrych2.10126661WSep 24 · 15:20Z. Zahradka3.001111113P. Moravec1.369480LSep 24 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.8311591682M. Dvorak1.832111114113LSep 16 · 17:19Z. Zahradka1.73712561D. Tichy2.00111011113WSep 16 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.201111113D. Tichy1.613670LSep 16 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.0081215842J. Dvorak1.7311101311113LSep 16 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.83118891M. Dvorak1.8391111113LSep 14 · 17:50Z. Zahradka3.00101191182D. Sykora1.36127118113WSep 14 · 16:50Z. Zahradka1.5011811113D. Sochor2.50811791WSep 14 · 15:20D. Sykora1.30811771Z. Zahradka3.4011811113
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