TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Karel Polak vs Karel Farsky 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Karel Polak
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012811119911––
Karel Farsky
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingKarel Polak above · Karel Farsky below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 81 set 4, 9-11
81 points played in total.
H2H Karel Polak 0–2 Karel Farsky Karel Polak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Farsky beat Polak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Farsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolak 2.75 / Farsky 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Farsky)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13190541
Polak2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog59% won 33 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back35% 7 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back29% 4 of 14
Farsky1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 52 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it69% 37 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePolak0wins
AwayFarsky2wins
Farsky leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricPolakFarskyP − FBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match31.537.5−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolakFarskyBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 328 vs 172 / 35150%49%164 / 328 vs 172 / 351Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FarskyPolak 2.75/Farsky 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Farsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Farsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 24 · 16:00K. Polak2581160K. Farsky351113113
LJul 10 · 07:30K. Polak381181181K. Farsky4013115113
K. Polak10
LSep 24 · 16:00K. Farsky1.441113113K. Polak2.6381160WSep 24 · 15:00L. Tuma1.5312790K. Polak2.381411113WSep 24 · 13:30P. Abraham1.53118981K. Polak2.3881111113WSep 22 · 16:39K. Polak1.67111489113M. Hasman2.10512111192WSep 22 · 15:30M. Hasman1.8398110K. Polak1.831111133LSep 22 · 15:00K. Polak2.0010870O. Plyska1.731211113LSep 22 · 14:00K. Polak2.251221091M. Vana1.57101112113LSep 21 · 16:58M. Melisek2.501111113K. Polak1.503890WSep 21 · 16:00K. Polak1.611114123M. Melisek2.20512100LSep 21 · 14:30E. Ondracek1.83911137123K. Polak1.831181111102
K. Farsky10
WSep 24 · 16:00K. Farsky1.441113113K. Polak2.6381160WSep 24 · 14:30P. Abraham2.50671116122K. Farsky1.501111414143LSep 24 · 14:00L. Tuma2.63811112113K. Farsky1.4411861172WSep 20 · 20:44J. Hanacek1.80111081192K. Farsky1.91612115113WSep 20 · 19:15F. Schmidtmayer1.91931271K. Farsky1.80111110113LSep 20 · 18:45K. Farsky1.8311211962J. Hanacek1.83511711113WSep 20 · 17:45K. Farsky1.531111113L. Tuma2.389590WSep 12 · 08:28M. Vorel2.50101111882K. Farsky1.50129711113LSep 12 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.6711116133K. Farsky2.109511111WSep 12 · 07:00K. Farsky1.61119116113A. Dvoracek2.2091131172
Upcoming Matches
K. Polak
Nothing scheduled
K. Farsky
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