TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Mecl Jr vs Matous Klimenta 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811811911––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:30 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeMatous Klimenta to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Mecl Jr above · Matous Klimenta below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Matous Klimenta at 57.4%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mecl Jr 3–8 Matous Klimenta Jan Mecl Jr has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:30What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Klimenta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Klimenta
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1747 vs Klimenta 1710
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Klimenta 0%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 30% vs Klimenta 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -4 · Klimenta -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Klimenta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klimenta form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.10 / Klimenta 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Klimenta)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189272
Jr2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 20)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 20 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Klimenta1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 17 days ago (Sep 08) · back after a break
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 34 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it70% 23 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayKlimenta8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKlimenta leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKlimenta100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Klimenta8n = 10Klimenta took 8 of 10
S2Jr7Klimenta3n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S3Jr5Klimenta5n = 10split evenly
S4Jr1Klimenta6n = 7Klimenta took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKlimentaJ − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.040.9−4.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKlimentaBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 737 vs 198 / 35951.8%55.2%382 / 737 vs 198 / 359Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlimentaJr 2.10/Klimenta 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Klimenta · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Klimenta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 23:00J. Jr4591111682M. Klimenta49118811113
LJun 18 · 20:00J. Jr361271161M. Klimenta4014114113
LMay 24 · 21:29J. Jr361213471M. Klimenta47141111113
LMay 24 · 18:00J. Jr29511491M. Klimenta4211911113
LMay 7 · 20:59J. Jr216780M. Klimenta331111113
LMay 7 · 20:30J. Jr4471116101M. Klimenta5011918123
WDec 25 · 21:00J. Jr331111113M. Klimenta238960
LMay 28 · 20:30J. Jr31551381M. Klimenta44111111113
LMay 16 · 21:30J. Jr49111141582M. Klimenta541361113113
WMay 16 · 18:00J. Jr361112133M. Klimenta27610110
J. Jr10
LSep 20 · 17:00R. Rose2.001111113J. Jr1.736970LSep 20 · 16:00J. Jr1.678680M. Zahradka2.101111113LSep 20 · 15:30L. Prikasky1.67112119113J. Jr2.1071181152LSep 20 · 14:00J. Jr1.57571271R. Rose2.25111110103WSep 19 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk2.207101111102J. Jr1.61111299123LSep 19 · 12:30J. Jr1.8377100L. Zeman1.831111123WSep 19 · 11:00J. Jr2.3851111113L. Prikasky1.53114271LSep 19 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk2.3815117113J. Jr1.531391181LSep 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.45881111113J. Jr1.4911112682WSep 13 · 16:00J. Jr1.44811711113V. Nohejl2.6311911542
M. Klimenta10
LSep 8 · 09:00R. Urbaniec2.5061111113M. Klimenta1.50118971LSep 8 · 08:00M. Klimenta1.801311941J. Ruzicka1.91111311113LSep 8 · 07:30R. Urbaniec4.00111110113M. Klimenta1.22791241LSep 8 · 06:00M. Klimenta1.441315107142F. Pusch2.6311131211163LSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113LSep 3 · 06:00M. Zahradka2.20111597113M. Klimenta1.61313111182WJul 26 · 03:28M. Klimenta1.73911711113M. Huk2.0011411652WJul 26 · 02:30M. Klimenta2.25113711113F. Wolf1.5781111792
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