TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117211118911115
Jan Mecl Jr
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Mecl Jr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Jan Mecl Jr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 86 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jan Mecl Jr at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Libor Prikasky 5–3 Jan Mecl Jr Jan Mecl Jr has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:08What took a side0 for · 6 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prikasky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Prikasky
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1806 vs Jr 1762
Prikasky
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 80% vs Jr 40%
Prikasky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 70% vs Jr 50%
Prikasky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky +4 · Jr -1
Prikasky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Prikasky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prikasky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 1.67 / Jr 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Prikasky)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158781
Prikasky1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 86 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it86% 60 of 70
Jr2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 20 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePrikasky5wins
AwayJr3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderPrikasky leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrikasky83.3%5 of 6
AwayJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prikasky6Jr2n = 8Prikasky took 6 of 8
S2Prikasky3Jr5n = 8Jr took 5 of 8
S3Prikasky4Jr4n = 8split evenly
S4Prikasky4Jr1n = 5Prikasky took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricPrikaskyJrP − JBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match37.133.9+3.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskyJrBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 474 vs 382 / 73455.7%52%264 / 474 vs 382 / 734Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrikaskyPrikasky 1.67/Jr 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Prikasky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 19 · 11:00L. Prikasky24114271J. Jr3851111113
WAug 25 · 06:00L. Prikasky341111123J. Jr2248100
LAug 24 · 12:00L. Prikasky208660J. Jr331111113
WJul 28 · 12:30L. Prikasky611113917113J. Jr56915111562
WJul 28 · 07:00L. Prikasky331111113J. Jr155370
WJul 15 · 06:00L. Prikasky43111011113J. Jr25512531
LJul 14 · 06:00L. Prikasky41108111112J. Jr52121199113
WJul 13 · 11:30L. Prikasky4111118113J. Jr30591151
L. Prikasky10
WSep 20 · 14:30M. Zahradka2.63112111462L. Prikasky1.44811516113WSep 20 · 13:30M. Zahradka3.008760L. Prikasky1.361111113WSep 20 · 12:00M. Zahradka2.63117431L. Prikasky1.4471111113WSep 20 · 11:00J. Kanera2.251011631L. Prikasky1.5712911113LSep 20 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.6111550F. Pusch2.201311113WSep 19 · 17:30F. Pusch1.87811111242L. Prikasky1.831181310113WSep 19 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.331111113O. Kolisnyk3.259870LSep 19 · 15:30F. Pusch2.38116711113L. Prikasky1.5361111952WSep 19 · 14:00L. Prikasky1.6111411113J. Kanera2.20311891LSep 19 · 13:30L. Prikasky1.573570L. Zeman2.251111113
J. Jr10
LSep 20 · 16:00J. Jr1.678680M. Zahradka2.101111113LSep 20 · 14:00J. Jr1.57571271R. Rose2.25111110103WSep 19 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk2.207101111102J. Jr1.61111299123LSep 19 · 12:30J. Jr1.8377100L. Zeman1.831111123WSep 19 · 11:00J. Jr2.3851111113L. Prikasky1.53114271LSep 19 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk2.3815117113J. Jr1.531391181LSep 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.45881111113J. Jr1.4911112682WSep 13 · 16:00J. Jr1.44811711113V. Nohejl2.6311911542WSep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.5061190J. Jr1.501113113LSep 13 · 14:00J. Jr1.50101171162O. Kolisnyk2.50129118113
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