TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13160491
Played Sep 19Finished
Frantisek Pusch
Home
1.87
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111811131210411
Libor Prikasky
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:06 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 99 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 57.1%
99 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Pusch 1–0 Libor Prikasky Libor Prikasky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Pusch beat Prikasky 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:06What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Prikasky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1818 vs Prikasky 1768
Pusch
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 80% vs Prikasky 60%
Pusch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 80% vs Prikasky 40%
Pusch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +4 · Prikasky +1
Pusch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pusch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 1.87 / Prikasky 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pusch)+4.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160491
Pusch1.87
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 30 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back37% 13 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 23
Prikasky1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 83 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePusch1wins
AwayPrikasky0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPusch leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPuschPrikaskyPusch − PrikaskyBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.042.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 139 vs 259 / 46856.8%55.3%79 / 139 vs 259 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 1.87/Prikasky 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 19 · 15:30F. Pusch46116711113L. Prikasky4261111952
F. Pusch10
WSep 19 · 16:30J. Kanera1.731271171F. Pusch2.0014117113WSep 19 · 15:30F. Pusch2.38116711113L. Prikasky1.5361111952WSep 19 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk1.611491081F. Pusch2.20121112113WSep 19 · 13:30F. Pusch1.91111211113O. Cmerda1.807101371LSep 19 · 12:30F. Pusch1.73561171O. Cmerda2.0011118113WSep 19 · 11:00F. Pusch1.831411113P. Saleny1.8312550WSep 19 · 10:00M. Wagner1.73119691F. Pusch2.0051111113WSep 9 · 13:30R. Wagner1.54811781F. Pusch2.1811611113WSep 9 · 12:30F. Pusch1.6711111115123V. Vejvoda2.10138417102LSep 9 · 11:00F. Pusch2.0031260R. Wagner1.731114113
L. Prikasky10
WSep 19 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.331111113O. Kolisnyk3.259870LSep 19 · 15:30F. Pusch2.38116711113L. Prikasky1.5361111952WSep 19 · 14:00L. Prikasky1.6111411113J. Kanera2.20311891LSep 19 · 13:30L. Prikasky1.573570L. Zeman2.251111113WSep 19 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk3.008960L. Prikasky1.361111113LSep 19 · 11:00J. Jr2.3851111113L. Prikasky1.53114271WSep 19 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.831111113L. Zeman1.837590LSep 16 · 21:00L. Prikasky2.007790M. Navedla1.731111113LSep 16 · 20:30L. Prikasky1.8335100M. Vavrecka1.831111123LSep 16 · 19:00L. Prikasky1.83111110972P. Wawrosz1.83981211113
Upcoming Matches
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