TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154186
Played Sep 19Finished
Frantisek Pusch
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511611118711––
Ondrej Cmerda
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Ondrej Cmerda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 62.0%
70 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pusch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1799 vs Cmerda 1701
Pusch
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 80% vs Cmerda 40%
Pusch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 70% vs Cmerda 40%
Pusch
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +4 · Cmerda +1
Pusch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pusch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 1.73 / Cmerda 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pusch)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154186
Pusch1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 26 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Cmerda2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 6 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschCmerdaBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 134 vs 183 / 35256%52%75 / 134 vs 183 / 352Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 1.73/Cmerda 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cmerda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Pusch10
WSep 19 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk1.611491081F. Pusch2.20121112113WSep 19 · 13:30F. Pusch1.91111211113O. Cmerda1.807101371WSep 19 · 11:00F. Pusch1.831411113P. Saleny1.8312550WSep 19 · 10:00M. Wagner1.73119691F. Pusch2.0051111113WSep 9 · 13:30R. Wagner1.54811781F. Pusch2.1811611113WSep 9 · 12:30F. Pusch1.6711111115123V. Vejvoda2.10138417102LSep 9 · 11:00F. Pusch2.0031260R. Wagner1.731114113WSep 9 · 10:00P. Saleny2.001111371F. Pusch1.7313911113LSep 9 · 09:28P. Saleny1.7351120113F. Pusch2.001181891WSep 9 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.9110360F. Pusch1.801211113
O. Cmerda10
LSep 19 · 13:30F. Pusch1.91111211113O. Cmerda1.807101371WSep 19 · 11:30O. Cmerda2.1061111133M. Wagner1.671196111LSep 19 · 10:30P. Saleny2.0091111113O. Cmerda1.73116871WSep 19 · 08:59O. Cmerda1.731111113P. Saleny2.009970LSep 19 · 08:30J. Tazler2.1011913113O. Cmerda1.678111171LSep 19 · 07:30O. Cmerda1.83712711P. Saleny1.83111011113WSep 19 · 06:30M. Wagner1.9141580O. Cmerda1.801117113LSep 18 · 17:00O. Cmerda2.0011118572O. Svacha1.73861111113LSep 18 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.831311113O. Cmerda1.8311560WSep 18 · 15:30O. Cmerda1.831081111113O. Svacha1.8312116552
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