TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153769
Played Sep 19Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118117––––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeLibor Prikasky to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-6
Point 55 set 3, 10-6 — our read held Libor Prikasky at 67.6%
55 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Libor Prikasky 6–2 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Prikasky beat Kolisnyk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Prikasky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Prikasky
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1742 vs Kolisnyk 1783
Kolisnyk
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 40% vs Kolisnyk 20%
Prikasky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 40% vs Kolisnyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky -1 · Kolisnyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Prikasky) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 1.33 / Kolisnyk 3.25
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Prikasky)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153769
Prikasky1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 83 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Kolisnyk3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 76 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePrikasky6wins
AwayKolisnyk2wins
1 of 8 to a deciderPrikasky leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrikasky100%5 of 5
AwayKolisnyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prikasky5Kolisnyk3n = 8Prikasky took 5 of 8
S2Prikasky6Kolisnyk2n = 8Prikasky took 6 of 8
S3Prikasky4Kolisnyk4n = 8split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home450%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricPrikaskyKolisnykP − KBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match36.931.9+5.0per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskyKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 467 vs 554 / 109255.3%50.7%258 / 467 vs 554 / 1092Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrikaskyPrikasky 1.33/Kolisnyk 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Prikasky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 19 · 12:00L. Prikasky331111113O. Kolisnyk238960
WAug 24 · 12:58L. Prikasky351111133O. Kolisnyk2898110
WAug 24 · 11:00L. Prikasky341111123O. Kolisnyk2578100
LAug 23 · 06:00L. Prikasky239680O. Kolisnyk331111113
WAug 22 · 16:30L. Prikasky331111113O. Kolisnyk164480
WJul 30 · 23:00L. Prikasky47111411113O. Kolisnyk376121361
LJul 28 · 09:30L. Prikasky30121170O. Kolisnyk381413113
WJul 28 · 06:30L. Prikasky6012111511113O. Kolisnyk5514617992
L. Prikasky10
LSep 19 · 15:30F. Pusch2.38116711113L. Prikasky1.5361111952WSep 19 · 14:00L. Prikasky1.6111411113J. Kanera2.20311891LSep 19 · 13:30L. Prikasky1.573570L. Zeman2.251111113WSep 19 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk3.008960L. Prikasky1.361111113LSep 19 · 11:00J. Jr2.3851111113L. Prikasky1.53114271WSep 19 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.831111113L. Zeman1.837590LSep 16 · 21:00L. Prikasky2.007790M. Navedla1.731111113LSep 16 · 20:30L. Prikasky1.8335100M. Vavrecka1.831111123LSep 16 · 19:00L. Prikasky1.83111110972P. Wawrosz1.83981211113WSep 16 · 18:00M. Navedla1.671110711112L. Prikasky2.10812113133
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 19 · 15:00J. Kanera2.38911471O. Kolisnyk1.5311811113LSep 19 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk1.611491081F. Pusch2.20121112113LSep 19 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk2.207101111102J. Jr1.61111299123LSep 19 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk3.008960L. Prikasky1.361111113LSep 19 · 11:30L. Zeman1.66138713113O. Kolisnyk2.051111111162WSep 19 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk2.3815117113J. Jr1.531391181WSep 18 · 03:30O. Kolisnyk1.57111111113M. Wagner2.25136581LSep 18 · 02:30A. Barton2.2511118153O. Kolisnyk1.578911131WSep 18 · 01:00J. Simecek2.637119101O. Kolisnyk1.4411911123WSep 17 · 23:30O. Kolisnyk2.001111113J. Ruzicka1.735620
Upcoming Matches
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