TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1182111151416611
Libor Prikasky
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:35 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeLibor Prikasky to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 14-16
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 95 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Libor Prikasky at 56.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 5–19 Libor Prikasky Michal Zahradka has won 5 of their 24 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 1h before this match
Prikasky beat Zahradka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:35What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Prikasky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-19 in 24
Prikasky
Correct
gap of 14 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1777 vs Prikasky 1795
Prikasky
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 40% vs Prikasky 80%
Prikasky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 50% vs Prikasky 70%
Prikasky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -2 · Prikasky +3
Prikasky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Prikasky) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prikasky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 2.63 / Prikasky 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Prikasky)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158870
Zahradka2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 71 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Prikasky1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 86 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it86% 60 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka1wins
AwayPrikasky9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPrikasky leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka16.7%1 of 6
AwayPrikasky100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka6Prikasky4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S2Zahradka5Prikasky5n = 10split evenly
S3Zahradka1Prikasky9n = 10Prikasky took 9 of 10
S4Zahradka0Prikasky8n = 8Prikasky took 8 of 8
S5Zahradka1Prikasky3n = 4Prikasky took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaPrikaskyZ − PBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.343.3−8.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime431 / 898 vs 263 / 47348%55.6%431 / 898 vs 263 / 473Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrikaskyZahradka 2.63/Prikasky 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Prikasky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 13:30M. Zahradka218760L. Prikasky331111113
LSep 20 · 12:00M. Zahradka25117431L. Prikasky4071111113
WAug 24 · 15:00M. Zahradka47111159113L. Prikasky4485111192
LAug 24 · 10:30M. Zahradka4391411272L. Prikasky521112711113
LAug 23 · 09:00M. Zahradka38119991L. Prikasky4181111113
LAug 23 · 08:00M. Zahradka4011115582L. Prikasky48781111113
LAug 22 · 11:00M. Zahradka249690L. Prikasky331111113
LAug 20 · 17:29M. Zahradka408146121L. Prikasky48111211143
LAug 20 · 16:00M. Zahradka32138561L. Prikasky44111111113
LJul 15 · 09:30M. Zahradka4311115792L. Prikasky50891111113
M. Zahradka10
WSep 20 · 15:00R. Rose2.209411101M. Zahradka1.6111115123LSep 20 · 13:30M. Zahradka3.008760L. Prikasky1.361111113LSep 20 · 12:00M. Zahradka2.63117431L. Prikasky1.4471111113WSep 20 · 11:30F. Pusch2.009111561M. Zahradka1.7311717113WSep 20 · 10:00M. Zahradka1.67111011113J. Kanera2.10312981LSep 17 · 03:00M. Zahradka2.5038130T. Postelt1.501111153LSep 17 · 02:00J. Ruzicka2.20114311113M. Zahradka1.6181111582LSep 17 · 24:30M. Zahradka1.73119831M. Huk2.0071111113WSep 16 · 23:00M. Zahradka3.50251016113E. Mares1.2823121461WSep 16 · 22:00T. Postelt1.9111511762M. Zahradka1.80811711113
L. Prikasky10
WSep 20 · 15:30L. Prikasky1.67112119113J. Jr2.1071181152WSep 20 · 13:30M. Zahradka3.008760L. Prikasky1.361111113WSep 20 · 12:00M. Zahradka2.63117431L. Prikasky1.4471111113WSep 20 · 11:00J. Kanera2.251011631L. Prikasky1.5712911113LSep 20 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.6111550F. Pusch2.201311113WSep 19 · 17:30F. Pusch1.87811111242L. Prikasky1.831181310113WSep 19 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.331111113O. Kolisnyk3.259870LSep 19 · 15:30F. Pusch2.38116711113L. Prikasky1.5361111952WSep 19 · 14:00L. Prikasky1.6111411113J. Kanera2.20311891LSep 19 · 13:30L. Prikasky1.573570L. Zeman2.251111113
Upcoming Matches
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