TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131012119118––
Jan Kanera
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Jan Kanera below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 57.4%
75 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 29–23 Jan Kanera Jan Kanera has won 23 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-23 in 52
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 6 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1807 vs Kanera 1706
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 40% vs Kanera 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 50% vs Kanera 20%
Zahradka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -3 · Kanera +1
Zahradka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zahradka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.67 / Kanera 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zahradka)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159413
Zahradka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 80 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it84% 37 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it74% 57 of 77
Kanera2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 40 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back18% 6 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka8wins
AwayKanera2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka88.9%8 of 9
AwayKaneran = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka9Kanera1n = 10Zahradka took 9 of 10
S2Zahradka8Kanera2n = 10Zahradka took 8 of 10
S3Zahradka6Kanera4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Zahradka4Kanera3n = 7Zahradka took 4 of 7
S5Zahradka1Kanera2n = 3Kanera took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaKaneraZ − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.132.8+8.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaKaneraBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 905 vs 267 / 57348%46.6%434 / 905 vs 267 / 573Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaZahradka 1.67/Kanera 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.4%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka331111113J. Kanera156450
WSep 5 · 19:00M. Zahradka4311147113J. Kanera334121161
LAug 23 · 06:30M. Zahradka4291111382J. Kanera47119511113
LAug 22 · 10:30M. Zahradka4811119892J. Kanera49791111113
WAug 20 · 15:00M. Zahradka351311113J. Kanera2411940
WAug 14 · 17:30M. Zahradka4211155113J. Kanera386131181
WAug 14 · 15:00M. Zahradka341111123J. Kanera1651100
WAug 8 · 14:00M. Zahradka4011711113J. Kanera32711771
WJul 9 · 16:00M. Zahradka4111118113J. Kanera31691151
WJul 6 · 11:00M. Zahradka531110129113J. Kanera43612101142
M. Zahradka10
LSep 17 · 03:00M. Zahradka2.5038130T. Postelt1.501111153LSep 17 · 02:00J. Ruzicka2.20114311113M. Zahradka1.6181111582LSep 17 · 24:30M. Zahradka1.73119831M. Huk2.0071111113WSep 16 · 23:00M. Zahradka3.50251016113E. Mares1.2823121461WSep 16 · 22:00T. Postelt1.9111511762M. Zahradka1.80811711113WSep 16 · 21:28J. Ruzicka2.383870M. Zahradka1.531111113WSep 16 · 20:00P. Bradach2.10981181M. Zahradka1.6711119113WSep 16 · 19:00M. Huk2.1081050M. Zahradka1.671112113LSep 16 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.6113511862J. Ruzicka2.201111811113LSep 15 · 21:30E. Mares1.281121013113M. Zahradka3.20811121162
J. Kanera10
WSep 19 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk2.00812661J. Kanera1.73111011113LSep 19 · 16:30J. Kanera1.731271171F. Pusch2.0014117113LSep 19 · 15:00J. Kanera2.38911471O. Kolisnyk1.5311811113LSep 19 · 14:00L. Prikasky1.6111411113J. Kanera2.20311891WSep 17 · 16:59J. Simecek1.83911571J. Kanera1.8311311113LSep 17 · 16:00M. Huk2.00612116113J. Kanera1.73111091192LSep 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.5011119113J. Kanera2.50591171LSep 17 · 14:30J. Kanera1.805117101J. Simecek1.9111711123LSep 12 · 17:31O. Kolisnyk1.8211411113J. Kanera1.90811991LSep 12 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.6111511113J. Kanera2.20411931
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