TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Radek Rose
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9114111151012––
Michal Zahradka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:26 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 73 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 56.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 5–6 Michal Zahradka Radek Rose has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rose 1718 vs Zahradka 1766
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 60% vs Zahradka 40%
Rose
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 50% vs Zahradka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose +2 · Zahradka -3
Zahradka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zahradka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 2.20 / Zahradka 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Zahradka)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160044
Rose2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog26% won 12 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Zahradka1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 80 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it84% 37 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it74% 57 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRose5wins
AwayZahradka5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRose83.3%5 of 6
AwayZahradka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rose6Zahradka4n = 10Rose took 6 of 10
S2Rose4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S3Rose5Zahradka5n = 10split evenly
S4Rose4Zahradka1n = 5Rose took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRoseZahradkaR − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.334.0+0.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 338 vs 431 / 89945.6%47.9%154 / 338 vs 431 / 899Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaRose 2.20/Zahradka 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 20:00R. Rose3511451142M. Zahradka44811113113
WJul 9 · 21:03R. Rose341111123M. Zahradka2459100
LJul 9 · 19:00R. Rose4381111492M. Zahradka39115111113
WJun 29 · 20:30R. Rose44111111113M. Zahradka34613871
WMar 13 · 21:30R. Rose341211113M. Zahradka2310580
WMar 12 · 20:00R. Rose4511117163M. Zahradka388511141
LAug 31 · 10:00R. Rose2511680M. Zahradka351311113
LAug 28 · 18:00R. Rose162680M. Zahradka331111113
LAug 26 · 21:00R. Rose258890M. Zahradka331111113
WAug 26 · 18:00R. Rose4211811123M. Zahradka379117101
R. Rose10
WSep 20 · 14:00J. Jr1.57571271R. Rose2.25111110103WSep 19 · 02:59R. Urbaniec2.3811812792R. Rose1.538111011113LSep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.50141173113R. Rose1.50126111182WSep 19 · 24:30R. Rose1.611111113M. Hampl2.207970LSep 18 · 23:00R. Rose2.63108100J. Ruzicka1.441211123LSep 18 · 22:00O. Svacha1.33101111113R. Rose3.25129391LSep 14 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.52125311113R. Rose2.35101111682WSep 14 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.25118361R. Rose1.5781111113LSep 14 · 15:30R. Rose2.3851190O. Kolisnyk1.531113113WSep 14 · 14:30A. Brazda2.75127551R. Rose1.40101111113
M. Zahradka10
LSep 20 · 14:30M. Zahradka2.63112111462L. Prikasky1.44811516113LSep 20 · 13:30M. Zahradka3.008760L. Prikasky1.361111113LSep 20 · 12:00M. Zahradka2.63117431L. Prikasky1.4471111113WSep 20 · 11:30F. Pusch2.009111561M. Zahradka1.7311717113WSep 20 · 10:00M. Zahradka1.67111011113J. Kanera2.10312981LSep 17 · 03:00M. Zahradka2.5038130T. Postelt1.501111153LSep 17 · 02:00J. Ruzicka2.20114311113M. Zahradka1.6181111582LSep 17 · 24:30M. Zahradka1.73119831M. Huk2.0071111113WSep 16 · 23:00M. Zahradka3.50251016113E. Mares1.2823121461WSep 16 · 22:00T. Postelt1.9111511762M. Zahradka1.80811711113
Upcoming Matches
R. Rose
M. Zahradka
Nothing scheduled
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