TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147117
Played Sep 19Finished
Radek Rose
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119117––––
Michal Hampl
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Rose to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Michal Hampl below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Radek Rose at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 2–0 Michal Hampl Michal Hampl has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:48What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Rose
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rose 1651 vs Hampl 1730
Hampl
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 20% vs Hampl 60%
Hampl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 50% vs Hampl 80%
Hampl
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose -3 · Hampl -1
Rose
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Rose) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hampl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 1.61 / Hampl 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Rose)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147117
Rose1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 36 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Hampl2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 13 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRose2wins
AwayHampl0wins
Rose leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRoseHamplR − HBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.527.0+10.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseHamplBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 334 vs 82 / 15345.2%53.6%151 / 334 vs 82 / 153Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoseRose 1.61/Hampl 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Rose · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 23 · 21:00R. Rose4211911113M. Hampl32911661
WSep 23 · 20:30R. Rose331111113M. Hampl228860
R. Rose10
LSep 18 · 23:00R. Rose2.63108100J. Ruzicka1.441211123LSep 18 · 22:00O. Svacha1.33101111113R. Rose3.25129391LSep 14 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.52125311113R. Rose2.35101111682WSep 14 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.25118361R. Rose1.5781111113LSep 14 · 15:30R. Rose2.3851190O. Kolisnyk1.531113113WSep 14 · 14:30A. Brazda2.75127551R. Rose1.40101111113LSep 13 · 03:29R. Rose1.8331171182R. Wagner1.83119114113WSep 13 · 01:30R. Rose1.501111113S. Kasnik2.504540WSep 13 · 24:30M. Regner1.618950R. Rose2.201111113WSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113
M. Hampl10
LSep 19 · 01:30M. Hampl2.63971131J. Ruzicka1.4411117113LSep 18 · 23:30O. Svacha2.10111011113M. Hampl1.67912291WSep 18 · 22:30M. Hampl1.801061111113R. Urbaniec1.9112119592WAug 10 · 03:30M. Hampl2.1011136123V. Svechota1.6551111101LAug 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.10412118113M. Hampl1.67111071182WAug 10 · 24:30M. Hampl1.831111113M. Huk1.839760WAug 9 · 23:00M. Hampl2.501191011113M. Zahradka1.5061112872WAug 9 · 22:00V. Svechota1.5761151382M. Hampl2.251161111113WAug 9 · 21:30M. Hampl2.5071111113D. Hofman1.50111561WAug 9 · 20:00R. Pacha1.83610110M. Hampl1.831112133
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