TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12381884
Played Aug 10Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111210117811118
Michal Hampl
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Hampl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Michal Hampl below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Michal Hampl at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 4–7 Michal Hampl Radim Urbaniec has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hampl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Hampl
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1705 vs Hampl 1725
Hampl
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 60% vs Hampl 100%
Hampl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 50% vs Hampl 70%
Hampl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Hampl +5
Hampl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hampl) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hampl form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.10 / Hampl 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Hampl)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12381884
Urbaniec2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 187 of 453
Down 0–1, comes back19% 48 of 247
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 134
Hampl1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 22 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it69% 20 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec4wins
AwayHampl6wins
Hampl leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec100%4 of 4
AwayHampl100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec4Hampl6n = 10Hampl took 6 of 10
S2Urbaniec4Hampl6n = 10Hampl took 6 of 10
S3Urbaniec4Hampl6n = 10Hampl took 6 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecHamplU − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match27.630.4−2.8per matchSweeps35−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecHamplBasisWin rate · lifetime556 / 1077 vs 93 / 17251.6%54.1%556 / 1077 vs 93 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HamplUrbaniec 2.10/Hampl 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Hampl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 7 · 03:00R. Urbaniec239770M. Hampl331111113
LJul 7 · 02:00R. Urbaniec157530M. Hampl331111113
WJun 18 · 02:00R. Urbaniec371111153M. Hampl2667130
LJun 15 · 23:30R. Urbaniec31811751M. Hampl3911611113
WMay 6 · 22:30R. Urbaniec4211911113M. Hampl34711791
LApr 14 · 02:58R. Urbaniec177550M. Hampl331111113
WApr 14 · 02:30R. Urbaniec331111113M. Hampl218760
LMar 21 · 21:58R. Urbaniec228950M. Hampl331111113
WMar 21 · 21:30R. Urbaniec341211113M. Hampl1910450
LJan 19 · 03:30R. Urbaniec224990M. Hampl331111113
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140WSep 17 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.63119641R. Urbaniec1.4491111113LSep 17 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57311741R. Wagner2.2511811113LSep 16 · 17:30M. Jezek1.501111113R. Urbaniec2.405660LSep 16 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.6311841272M. Jezek1.449111110113WSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192WSep 16 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.6151181182R. Urbaniec2.20119118113LSep 15 · 12:59J. Ruzicka1.4481111113R. Urbaniec2.63116751LSep 15 · 12:30J. Ruzicka1.5011117113R. Urbaniec2.50461161LSep 15 · 11:30R. Urbaniec3.25811651V. Svechota1.3311911113
M. Hampl10
WAug 10 · 03:30M. Hampl2.1011136123V. Svechota1.6551111101WAug 10 · 24:30M. Hampl1.831111113M. Huk1.839760WAug 9 · 23:00M. Hampl2.501191011113M. Zahradka1.5061112872WAug 9 · 22:00V. Svechota1.5761151382M. Hampl2.251161111113WAug 9 · 21:30M. Hampl2.5071111113D. Hofman1.50111561WAug 9 · 20:00R. Pacha1.83610110M. Hampl1.831112133WAug 9 · 19:00O. Svacha1.8075130M. Hampl1.911111153LAug 9 · 18:30M. Hampl1.73951111102D. Hofman2.00111185123WAug 5 · 02:58M. Pikous2.109730M. Hampl1.671111113LAug 5 · 02:30M. Hampl1.801134111O. Svacha1.9191111133
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
Sep 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec2.75M. Pikous1.40—Sep 17 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.61J. Louda2.20—Sep 17 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.50A. Brazda2.50—Sep 18 · 14:00R. Urbaniec1.80O. Svacha1.90—Sep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.10V. Nohejl1.65—Sep 18 · 16:30R. Urbaniec—O. Cmerda——Sep 18 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.20M. Hampl1.60—Sep 19 · 24:00R. Urbaniec2.60J. Ruzicka1.43—Sep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.80O. Svacha1.90—Sep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.45R. Rose1.48—
M. Hampl
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