TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12356299
Played Aug 5Finished
Michal Hampl
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1193114111113––
Ondrej Svacha
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Hampl above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 73 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Michal Hampl 4–5 Ondrej Svacha Michal Hampl has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:05What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hampl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hampl 1650 vs Svacha 1679
Svacha
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hampl 20% vs Svacha 60%
Svacha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hampl 50% vs Svacha 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hampl -1 · Svacha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svacha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hampl form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHampl 1.80 / Svacha 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svacha)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12356299
Hampl1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 21 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Svacha1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 72 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back28% 18 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHampl4wins
AwaySvacha5wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSvacha leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHampl66.7%4 of 6
AwaySvacha100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hampl6Svacha3n = 9Hampl took 6 of 9
S2Hampl3Svacha6n = 9Svacha took 6 of 9
S3Hampl4Svacha5n = 9Svacha took 5 of 9
S4Hampl4Svacha3n = 7Hampl took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricHamplSvachaH − SBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match34.737.8−3.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHamplSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 177 vs 391 / 78153.1%50.1%94 / 177 vs 391 / 781Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaHampl 1.80/Svacha 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 5 · 02:30M. Hampl291134111O. Svacha4491111133
WJul 10 · 24:30M. Hampl3811115113O. Svacha32761181
LJun 18 · 01:00M. Hampl2779110O. Svacha351111133
LJun 16 · 24:30M. Hampl3611211572O. Svacha50811911113
WMay 20 · 23:30M. Hampl3812113123O. Svacha3510411101
WMay 7 · 01:00M. Hampl4411814113O. Svacha368111251
LApr 22 · 03:23M. Hampl1936100O. Svacha341111123
WApr 21 · 23:00M. Hampl3911611113O. Svacha26211761
LApr 13 · 23:30M. Hampl4291111562O. Svacha48116911113
M. Hampl10
WAug 10 · 03:30M. Hampl2.1011136123V. Svechota1.6551111101LAug 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.10412118113M. Hampl1.67111071182WAug 10 · 24:30M. Hampl1.831111113M. Huk1.839760WAug 9 · 23:00M. Hampl2.501191011113M. Zahradka1.5061112872WAug 9 · 22:00V. Svechota1.5761151382M. Hampl2.251161111113WAug 9 · 21:30M. Hampl2.5071111113D. Hofman1.50111561WAug 9 · 20:00R. Pacha1.83610110M. Hampl1.831112133WAug 9 · 19:00O. Svacha1.8075130M. Hampl1.911111153LAug 9 · 18:30M. Hampl1.73951111102D. Hofman2.00111185123WAug 5 · 02:58M. Pikous2.109730M. Hampl1.671111113
O. Svacha10
WSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182LSep 14 · 01:00O. Svacha1.83116971R. Urbaniec1.8361111113LSep 14 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.80111110113O. Svacha1.91931261LSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner1.8081111113O. Svacha1.91116861WSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122WSep 12 · 19:00O. Svacha1.91111167113O. Kolisnyk1.8068111182LSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272WSep 12 · 09:30V. Svechota1.536111091O. Svacha2.3811912113LAug 9 · 19:00O. Svacha1.8075130M. Hampl1.911111153
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