TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12383695
Played Aug 9Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7115111315––––
Michal Hampl
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Michal Hampl below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 62 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 5–4 Michal Hampl Michal Hampl has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Svacha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1668 vs Hampl 1656
Svacha
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 60% vs Hampl 40%
Svacha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 70% vs Hampl 40%
Svacha
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -1 · Hampl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svacha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hampl form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 1.80 / Hampl 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svacha)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12383695
Svacha1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 95 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it91% 53 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it71% 70 of 98
Hampl1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 14 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSvacha5wins
AwayHampl4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSvacha leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha100%3 of 3
AwayHampl66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha3Hampl6n = 9Hampl took 6 of 9
S2Svacha6Hampl3n = 9Svacha took 6 of 9
S3Svacha5Hampl4n = 9Svacha took 5 of 9
S4Svacha3Hampl4n = 7Hampl took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricSvachaHamplS − HBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match37.834.7+3.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaHamplBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 769 vs 87 / 16549.9%52.7%384 / 769 vs 87 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaSvacha 1.80/Hampl 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hampl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 5 · 02:30O. Svacha4491111133M. Hampl291134111
LJul 10 · 24:30O. Svacha32761181M. Hampl3811115113
WJun 18 · 01:00O. Svacha351111133M. Hampl2779110
WJun 16 · 24:30O. Svacha50811911113M. Hampl3611211572
LMay 20 · 23:30O. Svacha3510411101M. Hampl3812113123
LMay 7 · 01:00O. Svacha368111251M. Hampl4411814113
WApr 22 · 03:23O. Svacha341111123M. Hampl1936100
LApr 21 · 23:00O. Svacha26211761M. Hampl3911611113
WApr 13 · 23:30O. Svacha48116911113M. Hampl4291111562
O. Svacha10
WSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182LSep 14 · 01:00O. Svacha1.83116971R. Urbaniec1.8361111113LSep 14 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.80111110113O. Svacha1.91931261LSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner1.8081111113O. Svacha1.91116861WSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122WSep 12 · 19:00O. Svacha1.91111167113O. Kolisnyk1.8068111182LSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272WSep 12 · 09:30V. Svechota1.536111091O. Svacha2.3811912113WSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191
M. Hampl10
WAug 10 · 03:30M. Hampl2.1011136123V. Svechota1.6551111101LAug 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.10412118113M. Hampl1.67111071182WAug 10 · 24:30M. Hampl1.831111113M. Huk1.839760WAug 9 · 23:00M. Hampl2.501191011113M. Zahradka1.5061112872WAug 9 · 22:00V. Svechota1.5761151382M. Hampl2.251161111113WAug 9 · 21:30M. Hampl2.5071111113D. Hofman1.50111561WAug 9 · 20:00R. Pacha1.83610110M. Hampl1.831112133LAug 9 · 18:30M. Hampl1.73951111102D. Hofman2.00111185123WAug 5 · 02:58M. Pikous2.109730M. Hampl1.671111113LAug 5 · 02:30M. Hampl1.801134111O. Svacha1.9191111133
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