TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Radek Rose
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119117––––
Jan Mecl Jr
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Jan Mecl Jr below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7
55 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 6–5 Jan Mecl Jr Jan Mecl Jr has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Rose beat Jr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 2.00 / Jr 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165797
Rose2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog26% won 12 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Jr1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 120 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRose6wins
AwayJr4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRose leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRose85.7%6 of 7
AwayJr100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rose7Jr3n = 10Rose took 7 of 10
S2Rose4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Rose4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Rose2Jr3n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRoseJrR − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.634.8+0.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseJrBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 340 vs 382 / 73645.3%51.9%154 / 340 vs 382 / 736Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrRose 2.00/Jr 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 7 · 15:30R. Rose2578100J. Jr341111123
LJul 9 · 18:00R. Rose361271161J. Jr3814112113
WJun 29 · 21:30R. Rose45111112113J. Jr29441471
WJun 29 · 18:00R. Rose49118611133J. Jr46811115112
WJun 18 · 21:00R. Rose331111113J. Jr268990
LJun 18 · 18:30R. Rose2687110J. Jr351111133
WJul 30 · 14:00R. Rose42115114113J. Jr4791171192
LFeb 9 · 16:30R. Rose31118661J. Jr4291111113
WJan 3 · 22:01R. Rose331111113J. Jr165650
R. Rose10
LSep 20 · 16:30R. Rose2.1089140L. Prikasky1.671111163LSep 20 · 15:00R. Rose2.209411101M. Zahradka1.6111115123WSep 20 · 14:00J. Jr1.57571271R. Rose2.25111110103WSep 19 · 02:59R. Urbaniec2.3811812792R. Rose1.538111011113LSep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.50141173113R. Rose1.50126111182WSep 19 · 24:30R. Rose1.611111113M. Hampl2.207970LSep 18 · 23:00R. Rose2.63108100J. Ruzicka1.441211123LSep 18 · 22:00O. Svacha1.33101111113R. Rose3.25129391LSep 14 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.52125311113R. Rose2.35101111682WSep 14 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.25118361R. Rose1.5781111113
J. Jr10
LSep 20 · 16:00J. Jr1.678680M. Zahradka2.101111113LSep 20 · 15:30L. Prikasky1.67112119113J. Jr2.1071181152LSep 20 · 14:00J. Jr1.57571271R. Rose2.25111110103WSep 19 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk2.207101111102J. Jr1.61111299123LSep 19 · 12:30J. Jr1.8377100L. Zeman1.831111123WSep 19 · 11:00J. Jr2.3851111113L. Prikasky1.53114271LSep 19 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk2.3815117113J. Jr1.531391181LSep 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.45881111113J. Jr1.4911112682WSep 13 · 16:00J. Jr1.44811711113V. Nohejl2.6311911542WSep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.5061190J. Jr1.501113113
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