TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Zustina vs Jakub Lysek 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Lukas Zustina
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117114––––
Jakub Lysek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Lysek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Zustina above · Jakub Lysek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 50 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Jakub Lysek at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lysek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Zustina 1294 vs Lysek 1314
Lysek
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zustina 60% vs Lysek 40%
Zustina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zustina 30% vs Lysek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zustina -2 · Lysek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lysek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZustina 1.91 / Lysek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lysek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13188473
Zustina1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 13 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Lysek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 15 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZustinaLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 116 vs 144 / 32045.7%45%53 / 116 vs 144 / 320Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysekZustina 1.91/Lysek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lysek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zustina won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Zustina10
WSep 24 · 16:45L. Zustina1.501111113J. Lysek2.505770LSep 24 · 14:45M. Dolezal1.8311116113L. Zustina1.83471191LSep 24 · 14:15P. Sturma2.0081211143L. Zustina1.7311107121WSep 24 · 13:20Z. Chovancik1.67121110982L. Zustina2.101071211113WSep 24 · 11:45P. Sturma1.911187101L. Zustina1.8061111123WSep 24 · 11:15R. Sedivy3.004830L. Zustina1.361111113LSep 24 · 10:15L. Zustina1.8041150Z. Chovancik1.911113113LSep 16 · 12:48L. Jr1.531111113L. Zustina2.388670LSep 16 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.251111113L. Zustina1.577790LSep 16 · 11:15L. Jr1.73111111113L. Zustina2.00139571
J. Lysek10
LSep 24 · 16:45L. Zustina1.501111113J. Lysek2.505770WSep 24 · 15:15J. Lysek1.80116118113P. Sturma1.9171191182LSep 24 · 13:45M. Dolezal2.001511113J. Lysek1.7313630LJul 22 · 08:43J. Lysek1.834360J. Sevecek1.831111113LJul 22 · 08:15J. Lysek1.5311117101L. Snr2.3813811123WJul 22 · 06:45J. Sevecek1.53119881J. Lysek2.3881111113LJul 22 · 06:15P. Sturma2.001110811113J. Lysek1.7331211992LJul 21 · 12:45J. Lysek1.6181281122T. Stempak2.201110119113LJul 21 · 11:45J. Lysek1.736680P. Sturma2.001111113LJul 21 · 10:45J. Lysek1.83111111982R. Zajac1.83991311113
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