TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Kurtenko vs Oleksandr Lipeiko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1198111513911911
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kurtenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 107 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Kurtenko at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 13–7 Oleksandr Lipeiko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:13What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lipeiko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-7 in 20
Kurtenko
Wrong
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1444 vs Lipeiko 1478
Lipeiko
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 40% vs Lipeiko 60%
Lipeiko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 50% vs Lipeiko 70%
Lipeiko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -1 · Lipeiko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.83 / Lipeiko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kurtenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13185342
Kurtenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Lipeiko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko5wins
AwayLipeiko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko60%3 of 5
AwayLipeiko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko5Lipeiko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurtenko4Lipeiko6n = 10Lipeiko took 6 of 10
S3Kurtenko2Lipeiko8n = 10Lipeiko took 8 of 10
S4Kurtenko6Lipeiko2n = 8Kurtenko took 6 of 8
S5Kurtenko3Lipeiko2n = 5Kurtenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoLipeikoK − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.642.1−0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 667 vs 254 / 52352.5%48.6%350 / 667 vs 254 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.83/Lipeiko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lipeiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 10:05A. Kurtenko4291111113O. Lipeiko34119861
LJul 13 · 10:50A. Kurtenko3912115111O. Lipeiko4414611133
LJul 8 · 11:35A. Kurtenko2679100O. Lipeiko341111123
WJul 1 · 17:00A. Kurtenko47111168113O. Lipeiko3945111182
WJun 29 · 09:20A. Kurtenko49116912113O. Lipeiko47811111072
WJun 25 · 09:20A. Kurtenko45811311123O. Lipeiko44117115102
WJun 14 · 17:20A. Kurtenko4211911113O. Lipeiko34911861
LJun 11 · 12:50A. Kurtenko30146100O. Lipeiko391611123
LJun 1 · 12:20A. Kurtenko551291111122O. Lipeiko561011138143
LMay 25 · 06:50A. Kurtenko4111981122O. Lipeiko50911118113
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 24 · 08:05A. Kurtenko3.25811114102A. Martyniuk1.33118511123WSep 24 · 06:35A. Kurtenko2.0011711113S. Solomko1.73911981LSep 24 · 05:05A. Kurtenko1.8011791192E. Populovskyi1.91411116113LSep 22 · 12:05A. Kurtenko3.00511341F. Voinarovskyi1.3611911113WSep 22 · 10:05I. Emets1.676910A. Kurtenko2.101111113WSep 22 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.678670A. Kurtenko2.101111113LSep 22 · 07:05A. Kurtenko1.801041141A. Kovalenko1.9112117113WSep 22 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.00311791A. Kurtenko1.7311311113WSep 21 · 11:50A. Kurtenko1.8011115113O. Leonenko1.91881131LSep 21 · 10:20A. Kurtenko3.0031271162S. Hryhorenko1.361110119113
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 24 · 08:35O. Lipeiko1.9111129262S. Solomko1.805101111113WSep 24 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.7581311592O. Lipeiko1.251111811113LSep 24 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.75117110A. Martyniuk1.401311133WSep 23 · 19:00O. Lipeiko1.8081111113A. Kovalenko1.91117731WSep 23 · 17:00V. Smyk2.20871941O. Lipeiko1.61111117113WSep 23 · 15:00S. Skhabitskiy2.25571191O. Lipeiko1.5711117113WSep 23 · 14:00O. Lipeiko1.571111113M. Stetsenko2.255670WSep 23 · 13:00O. Ovsiienko2.75711371O. Lipeiko1.4011711113WSep 20 · 19:00D. Ponomarenko2.10111040O. Lipeiko1.671312113LSep 20 · 17:30O. Lipeiko1.3011127982O. Ovsiienko3.409101111113
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