TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Cermak vs Jan Trefny 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114113––––
Jan Trefny
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Jan Trefny below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 45 set 3, 11-3
45 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 1–1 Jan Trefny Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Cermak beat Trefny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Cermak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trefny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 1.50 / Trefny 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Cermak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13184914
Cermak1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 143 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it91% 71 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it78% 115 of 147
Trefny2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 29 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back29% 8 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCermak1wins
AwayTrefny1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricCermakTrefnyC − TBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.027.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakTrefnyBasisWin rate · lifetime551 / 1085 vs 64 / 12450.8%51.6%551 / 1085 vs 64 / 124Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakCermak 1.50/Trefny 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 23 · 14:00V. Cermak331111113J. Trefny71420
LJul 11 · 24:00V. Cermak39111134102J. Trefny47581111123
V. Cermak10
LSep 23 · 16:30V. Cermak1.73125981D. Tuma2.00101111113LSep 23 · 15:00V. Cermak2.1071111192M. Sobisek1.67111175113WSep 23 · 14:00J. Trefny1.851420V. Cermak1.851111113LSep 23 · 13:30V. Cermak2.1061111992M. Volf1.65119511113WSep 23 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.8011107101V. Cermak1.9181211123WSep 23 · 11:30V. Cermak1.80911911133D. Tuma1.91116119112LSep 23 · 10:30M. Volf1.67115511113V. Cermak2.1091111782LSep 18 · 03:30A. Hlawatschke1.27961116143V. Cermak3.251111814122WSep 18 · 01:30V. Cermak1.6771111113D. Tuma2.10119771WSep 18 · 24:30F. Just2.63116551V. Cermak1.4471111113
J. Trefny10
WSep 23 · 16:00J. Trefny1.9111114113M. Sobisek1.80671181LSep 23 · 15:30D. Tuma1.73101111113J. Trefny2.00128671LSep 23 · 14:00J. Trefny1.851420V. Cermak1.851111113WSep 20 · 03:29J. Trefny2.251111113D. Kouble1.578950WSep 20 · 02:00J. Trefny1.7311411143J. Prokupek2.009117121WSep 20 · 01:00J. Trefny1.9111116113R. Pavelka1.80481141WSep 20 · 24:00P. Budinsky1.61111111482J. Trefny2.20813911113LSep 19 · 22:30D. Kouble1.6711611133J. Trefny2.109115111WSep 19 · 17:32J. Trefny1.6720514113Y. Holovatiuk2.0918111291WSep 19 · 16:00J. Trefny1.801111113Y. Holovatiuk1.917780
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